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铁路12306

36
Quality Score
Emerging

铁路12306

Medium confidence
2.1 ✍️ Editor
✍️ bumetric analysis

铁路12306 is an iOS app from 中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司 in the Travel category, currently rated 2.1★ across 976 ratings. Initial signal reads as mostly critical sentiment so far: users flag rough edges and unmet expectations.

Quality Score is 36: Emerging (early traction worth watching). For a Travel app, that means early traction worth watching. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.

Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.

💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$5.0K
per month
12-mo forecast
$5.2K – $10.8K
per month
24-mo forecast
$6.4K – $19.2K
per month
MID tier
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📊 Performance Tracking LIVE

Loading…
idle
0%
Rating
Reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD 💰 Estimated build cost
$120K
What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $90K – $160K
$25K · MVP floor $100K · indie scale $500K+ · studio build
📈 Slow ROI — current MRR is well below build cost

Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.

Where the money goes
🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) +$28K
📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K +$22K
📦 Asset bundle (166 MB) +$40K
Travel complexity ×1.30 +$27K
Total estimate $120K
👥 Estimated audience size
105K
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
10K
Daily active
1.5K

Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.

How we sized it
📲 Travel engagement ~110 installs / rating
🔁 Travel D30 retention 10%
📍 DAU / MAU stickiness 0.15
DAU / MAU 14% sticky
🔬

How we forecast this revenue

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Baseline
$5.0K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+4.0% MoM · MID tier baseline (compound monthly)
Direction
Headwinds: rating drift may slow acquisition
6 months
$4.7K – $7.9K
12 months
$5.2K – $10.8K
24 months
$6.4K – $19.2K
Compound growth at +4.0% MoM (tier baseline for MID). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±25% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊

BU Investment Matrix

Stalled · 36/100MID TIERno growth momentum
GrowthFounderQualityRevenueMonetiz.MoatMarketSafety
Growth Velocity
5.0
Founder Strength
3.0
Product Quality
2.9
Revenue Strength
3.7
Monetization Maturity
1.0
Defensibility
4.5
Market Position
2.0
Operational Safety
7.0
  • 💰 Revenue: Modest — $3K - $7K/mo · MID tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
  • ⭐ Quality: 2.06★ across 976 reviews — weak — significant quality concerns.
  • 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
  • 📈 Growth: last update 310d ago — slow cadence.
  • ⚠️ Risk: Moderate — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $90K-$160K.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:

💰 Forecast Revenue / mo

MODEL
Revenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 5 of 5 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
bugsREVIEW
−$1,800
Below-average rating (2.1★)METRIC
−$1,500
Mature app (12y old)METRIC
+$1,500
Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC
+$600
Early-stage install base (976 ratings)METRIC
+$400
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)

📈 Reviews Growth

LIVE
Cumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.

⭐ Rating Trend

LIVE
Average rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.

🆕 What's New · v5.9.5

【新版本特性】
1.页面焕新升级,优化功能布局;
2.提升产品体验,解决已知BUG。

Profile & Insights

Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.

Identification

App name
铁路12306
Developer
中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司
Bundle ID
cn.12306.rails12306
App Store URL
Open in App Store
Category
Travel
Content rating
4+
Languages
EN, ZH

Company

Website
Not found
Tagline
Today
Description
Find apps and games for iPhone, iPad, Mac, and more on the App Store.
Founded
Not found
HQ / Address
Not found
Employees
Not found
Logo
Available

Revenue

Verified revenue / mo
Not found
AI revenue estimate / mo
Not found
AI annual estimate
Not found
ML model estimate / mo
$401/mo
Top-grossing rank
Outside top 100 in US Travel
All-time revenue
Not found
Pricing
Not found

Founder

Founder data not yet collected for this app.

Funding

Funding data not yet collected for this app.

Press & Links

Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.

Contacts & Socials

Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth976 ratings+10% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾Jun 2023May 2025Jun 2026
Tracked (56 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (35 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
🌍Geographic ReachNot ranked
This app is currently outside the top 100 grossing in all 9 countries we monitor (US, UK, DE, FR, JP, CA, AU, BR, IN). Niche or new apps often launch this way — popularity rankings appear once daily revenue clears the regional threshold.
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.

📝 About this app

中国铁路出品,人民铁路为人民,买火车票就用铁路12306!铁路12306网站(含手机客户端)是中国铁路唯一官方火车票网络售票平台,从未授权任何第三方平台发售火车票。

我们的特色:
【售票无加价】不收取加速包费用,不捆绑保险销售,不收取会员费,让您购票放心。
【信息更准确】晚点、停运信息,列车出发、到达信息,车厢、车型信息,第一时间获知,让您出行安心。
【功能更全面】火车票、机票、汽车票、网络订餐、酒店住宿、旅游等近百项功能,让您旅行无忧。
【服务更温馨】满足老年人的大字版,满足视障等特殊人群的无障碍版,让您使用便捷。

主要产品及服务:
【火车票预订】
1. 无票候补。车票售完不用慌,无票候补帮您忙。提交候补需求,当因退票、改签或新增列车等产生可供发售的车票时,自动为您出票。
2. 选座选铺。喜欢靠窗看风景?喜欢靠过道便捷?喜欢上铺清净?喜欢下铺方便?选座选铺一键指定心意座/铺位。
3. 智能中转。没有直达方案?中转服务智能为您推荐换乘方案。
4. 车站大屏。查看列车出发、到达信息,让您轻松掌握行程,送站接人更加便捷。

【机票预订】
航司官方直营店入驻,官方机票服务,购票更安心,出行有保障。

【汽车票预订】
覆盖全国随时出发!提供国内公路客运信息、汽车站、线路时刻的查询及汽车票预订服务。

【联运服务】… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →
💾 166 MB🔞 4+📱 iOS 11.0+🔖 v5.9.5🔄 updated 0d ago🌐 EN, ZH📂 Travel💰 Free
📅

What Worked™ · Development Pipeline

10 EVENTS TRACKED
Detected changes in this app over its tracked lifetime — each event links cause (what changed) to effect (what moved). Sorted newest first.See full history →Version history →
2026-05
Rating ↑ 1.62 → 2.06 (improved 0.44★)
2026-05
📈
Crossed 500 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
2026-03
Rating ↓ 2.30 → 1.62 (dropped 0.68★)
2026-03
Rating ↑ 1.62 → 2.30 (improved 0.68★)
2026-03
📈
Crossed 500 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
2016-06
📈
Crossed 100 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
2014-02
📈
Crossed 50 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
2013-12
📈
Crossed 10 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
2013-12
🚀
First tracked snapshot — initial data captured
2013-12
Rating ↑ 1.00 → 3.00 (improved 2.00★)
🌍

Multi-Country Performance

Available in 9 of 9 monitored markets
MarketRatingReviewsCurrent version
🇦🇺 AU2.05263★952.05263★ this version
🇧🇷 BR1.66667★61.66667★ this version
🇨🇦 CA1.59551★891.59551★ this version
🇩🇪 DE2.25★322.25★ this version
🇫🇷 FR2.07692★262.07692★ this version
🇬🇧 GB1.88298★941.88298★ this version
🇮🇳 IN2.2★52.2★ this version
🇯🇵 JP1.86275★1531.86275★ this version
🇺🇸 US2.05092★9822.05092★ this version
🔔

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📝 Description

95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for 铁路12306: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
Read deep-dive →

Similar apps in Travel

About this analysis
ZCAnalyzed by Zakhar Chumak · founder, bumetric·Full methodology·Medium confidence

Why medium confidence: 976 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).

Frequently Asked Questions

4 answers · auto-generated from this app's public data
How much does 铁路12306 make per month?
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, 铁路12306 earns approximately $400/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
What apps are like 铁路12306?
Browse the full Travel category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
Who makes 铁路12306?
铁路12306 is published by 中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司 on the Apple App Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is 铁路12306's BU Score?
铁路12306 has a BU Score of 36/100 (Emerging). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.