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56
Quality Score
Solid

Bus Realtime מתי האוטובוס הבא

3.9 ✍️ Editor
✍️ bumetric analysis

Bus Realtime מתי האוטובוס הבא is an Android app from Arad Seroussi in the Maps & Navigation category, currently rated 3.9★ across 2,396 ratings. Initial signal reads as largely positive sentiment, users highlighting consistency and feature depth.

Quality Score is 56: Solid (established niche player). For a Maps & Navigation app, that means established niche player. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.

Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.

💰 Revenue · today and ahead
Today
$655/mo
In 12 months
$572 – $2064
In 24 months
$530 – $4774
INDIE tier
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📊 Performance Tracking LIVE

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idle
0%
Rating
Reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
💰 Estimated build cost
$180K
Likely range $135K – $245K
$25K · MVP floor$100K · indie scale$500K+ · studio build
📈Slow ROI — current MRR is well below build cost

Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.

Where the money goes
🧱MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship)+$28K
📱5 unique screens × $4.5K+$22K
Maps & Navigation complexity ×1.20+$10K
🌐Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android)+$33K
14.4y maintenance × ~1-person team+$86K
Total estimate$180K
💵 Estimated acquisition value
$10K
Marketplace range $10K – $15K · 17× MRR multiple
💸~0.1× build cost (under-water)

Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from ad-supported + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.

How the multiple was built
📺Ad-supported base15× MRR
📅14.4y proven track record+20%
★ rating 3.5-4.0 (mixed)-8%
Final multiple17× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
250K
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
19K
Daily active
7.6K

Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.

How we sized it
📲Maps & Navigation engagement~150 installs / rating
📅14.4y of rating accumulation-30%
🔁Maps & Navigation D30 retention30%
📍DAU / MAU stickiness0.40
DAU / MAU40% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
High confidence · 80%
Also possible
Flutter

Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.

Signals we read
🏷Category contextMaps & Navigation
📦Compact Android bundle→ Native Kotlin
💀 Maintenance status
Likely abandoned
93%
Last shipped 2018-07-15 · 2868 days ago
0 · Active50 · At risk100 · Abandoned

Heuristic risk score from time-since-last-update + ratings velocity proxy + Editor's Choice / curated featuring signals. Calibrated against 2024-2025 app-store ranking decay reports. Not a guarantee — a quiet app with a healthy codebase looks the same as an abandoned one until something breaks. Full math on /methodology.

Risk signals
📅7y+ since last updateLikely abandoned
14y old + 1y+ no update+5% (API deprecation drift)
VerdictLikely abandoned
🔬

How we forecast this revenue

LOW CONFIDENCE
Baseline
$655/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+6.0% MoM · INDIE tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$558 – $1.3K
12 months
$572 – $2.1K
24 months
$530 – $4.8K
Compound growth at +6.0% MoM (tier baseline for INDIE). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±40% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊

BU Investment Matrix

Pre-traction · 39/100INDIE TIERlimited signal
RevenueQualityMarketGrowthMoatSafetyFounderMonetiz.
Revenue Strength
2.8
Product Quality
7.1
Market Position
0.0
Growth Velocity
5.0
Defensibility
4.5
Operational Safety
7.0
Founder Strength
3.8
Monetization Maturity
1.0
  • 💰 Revenue: Marginal — $262 - $1637/mo · INDIE tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
  • ⭐ Quality: 3.92★ across 2,396 reviews — solid.
  • 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
  • 📈 Growth: ⚠ last update 2868d ago — possibly dormant.
  • ⚠️ Risk: Moderate — dormant (2868d since update).
🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $11K-$20K.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:

💰 Forecast Revenue / mo

MODEL
Revenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 3 of 3 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
Low install base (2,396 ratings)METRIC
+$1,500
Mature app (14y old)METRIC
+$1,500
Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC
+$600
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)

📈 Reviews Growth

LIVE
Cumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.

⭐ Rating Trend

LIVE
Average rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →
🔖 vVaries with device🔄 updated 7y ago📂 Maps & Navigation💰 Free📺 Ad-supported🚀 Launched 2012 (14y old)

📝 About this app

An app that allows to see convenient and simple manner when the next bus station.
Times are based on the GPS location of the bus in real time and are taken directly from the companies (OnTime service / NextBus) and the Ministry of Transportation.

Companies supported: Egged, Egged, Dan, Metropolitan (Sharon and South Lines), Line, Superbus, Metrodan, City, Path Express, Omni Express, S.a.m Nazareth, NTT, G'i.bi Torres, waves and public transportation Golan.

Among other things, this app lets you:… View full description on the official store →
🔔

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Profile & Insights

Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.

Identification

App name
Bus Realtime מתי האוטובוס הבא
Developer
Arad Seroussi
Bundle ID
com.arad.realtime.metropoline
App Store URL
Open in App Store
Category
Maps & Navigation
Content rating
Not found
Languages
Not found

Company

Website
www.busrealtime.com
Tagline
Not found
Description
Not found
Founded
Not found
HQ / Address
Not found
Employees
Not found
Logo
Not found

Revenue

Verified revenue / mo
Not found
AI revenue estimate / mo
Not found
AI annual estimate
Not found
ML model estimate / mo
$655/mo
Top-grossing rank
Not found
All-time revenue
Not found
Pricing
Not found

Founder

Founder data not yet collected for this app.

Funding

Funding data not yet collected for this app.

Press & Links

Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.

Contacts & Socials

Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth2,396 ratings+13% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾Jun 2023Dec 2024May 2026
Tracked (1 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (35 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.

Similar apps in Maps & Navigation

Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Bus Realtime מתי האוטובוס הבא: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
Read deep-dive →