The First Tree
58
Quality Score
Solid
The First Tree
by David Wehle, LLC
Medium confidence
✍️ Bumetric analysis
“
The First Tree is an Android app from David Wehle, LLC in the Adventure category, currently rated 4.2★ across 197 ratings. Initial signal reads as largely positive sentiment, users highlighting consistency and feature depth.
Quality Score is 58: Solid (established niche player). For a Adventure app, that means established niche player. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.
💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$3.4K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$2.9K – $10.6K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$2.7K – $24.4K
per month
INDIE tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
1 snapshots on record
Rating
4.2
Reviews
197 reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
$3.4K
Snapshots tracked
1
since Aug 2026
ONE-TIME · BUILD
💰 Estimated build cost
$200K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $150K – $270K
$25K · MVP floor
$100K · indie scale
$500K+ · studio build
📈
Pays back in ~5.0y at current MRR
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| ⚙ Adventure complexity ×2.10 | +$55K |
| 🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) | +$58K |
| ⚙ 5.8y maintenance × ~1-person team | +$35K |
Total estimate
$200K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE
💵 Estimated acquisition value
$45K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $35K – $50K · 14× MRR multiple
💸
~0.2× build cost (under-water)
Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from ad-supported + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.
How the multiple was built
| 📺 Ad-supported base | 15× MRR |
| 📅 5.8y proven track record | +20% |
| 🏷 Adventure category multiple | -15% |
| ⭐ Small user base (<1K ratings) | -8% |
Final multiple
14× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
19K
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
1.8K
Daily active
540
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲 Adventure engagement | ~140 installs / rating |
| 📅 5.8y of rating accumulation | -29% |
| 🔁 Adventure D30 retention | 12% |
| 📍 DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.30 |
DAU / MAU
30% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter
Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.
Signals we read
| 🏷 Category context | Adventure |
| 📦 Tiny game bundle | → Native 2D engine |
💀 Maintenance status
Likely abandoned
95%
Last shipped 2020-11-18 · 2135 days ago
0 · Active
50 · At risk
100 · Abandoned
Heuristic risk score from time-since-last-update + ratings velocity proxy + Editor's Choice / curated featuring signals. Calibrated against 2024-2025 app-store ranking decay reports. Not a guarantee — a quiet app with a healthy codebase looks the same as an abandoned one until something breaks. Full math on /methodology.
Risk signals
| 📅 5y+ since last update | Likely abandoned |
| 👥 Small user base (197 ratings) + 5.8y old | +10% (solo-project pattern) |
Verdict
Likely abandoned
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
MEDIUM CONFIDENCEBaseline
$3.4K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+6.0% MoM · INDIE tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$2.9K – $6.7K
12 months
$2.9K – $10.6K
24 months
$2.7K – $24.4K
Compound growth at +6.0% MoM (tier baseline for INDIE). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±40% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Pre-traction · 36/100INDIE TIERlimited signalGrowth Velocity
5.0
Founder Strength
3.2
Product Quality
5.8
Revenue Strength
3.5
Monetization Maturity
1.0
Defensibility
3.5
Market Position
0.0
Operational Safety
7.0
- 💰 Revenue: Modest — $1K - $8K/mo · INDIE tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 4.16★ across 197 reviews — below category median.
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: ⚠ last update 2132d ago — possibly dormant.
- ⚠️ Risk: Moderate — dormant (2132d since update).
🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $60K-$107K.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 4 of 4 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| Paid app ($4.99)METRIC | +$2,800 | |
| Good rating (4.2★)METRIC | +$800 | |
| Established app (5y old)METRIC | +$800 | |
| Early-stage install base (197 ratings)METRIC | +$400 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- The First Tree
- Developer
- David Wehle, LLC
- Bundle ID
- com.davidwehle.thefirsttree
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Adventure
- Content rating
- Not found
- Languages
- Not found
Company
- Website
- www.thefirsttree.com
- Tagline
- Not found
- Description
- Not found
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Not found
Revenue
- Reported revenue signal / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- Model estimate / mo
- $3.4K/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Not found
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- Not found
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
📝 About this app
The First Tree is a third-person exploration game centered around two parallel stories: a fox trying to find her missing family, and a son reconnecting with his estranged father in Alaska. Players take control of the fox on a poignant and beautiful journey that crescendos at the source of life, and perhaps result in an understanding of death. Along the way, players can uncover artifacts and stories from the son's life as he becomes intertwined in the fox’s journey towards The First Tree.
Features:… View full description on the official store →
Features:… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →🔖 v1.0🔄 updated 5y ago📂 Adventure💰 Free🚀 Launched 2020 (5y old)
🔔
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📝 Description
95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for The First Tree: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
About this analysis
Why medium confidence: 197 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
10 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does The First Tree make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, The First Tree earns approximately $3.4K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
Is The First Tree profitable?▴
With estimated build cost $200K and monthly revenue $3.4K, The First Tree looks slow ROI — payback period is around 5.0 years at the current run-rate. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.
How many users does The First Tree have?▴
Estimated audience: ~19K lifetime downloads, ~1K monthly active users, and ~540 daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.
What apps are like The First Tree?▴
Browse the full Adventure category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
What is The First Tree built with?▴
Our heuristic places The First Tree on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.
Is The First Tree still actively maintained?▴
Maintenance status: Likely abandoned (95% abandonment risk). Last shipped version was 5+ years ago. The risk score combines time-since-last-update with Editor's Choice / curated featuring + user-base maturity adjustments.
How much would The First Tree sell for?▴
Estimated acquisition value: $45K (marketplace range $35K – $50K). Calculated as 14× monthly revenue using the standard multiple for the detected monetization model + adjustments for age, rating quality and category demand. Calibrated against 2024-2026 Flippa / Acquire.com / MicroAcquire closed-deal medians.
When was The First Tree last updated?▴
The First Tree last shipped a new version on 2020-11-18 — more than 5 year(s) ago. This is the date Apple / Google last accepted a new build, not a content-only push.
Who makes The First Tree?▴
The First Tree is published by David Wehle, LLC on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is The First Tree's BU Score?▴
The First Tree has a BU Score of 58/100 (Solid). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.