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Elder Sign: Omens

64
Quality Score
Solid

Elder Sign: Omens

High confidence
3.4 ✍️ Editor
✍️ bumetric analysis

Elder Sign: Omens is an Android app from Fantasy Flight Games in the Board category, currently rated 3.4★ across 10,357 ratings. Initial signal reads as mostly critical sentiment so far: users flag rough edges and unmet expectations.

Quality Score is 64: Solid (established niche player). For a Board app, that means established niche player. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.

Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.

💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$700K
per month
12-mo forecast
$741K – $1141K
per month
24-mo forecast
$886K – $1645K
per month
BIG tier
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📊 Performance Tracking LIVE

Loading…
idle
0%
Rating
Reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD 💰 Estimated build cost
$140K
What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $105K – $190K
$25K · MVP floor $100K · indie scale $500K+ · studio build
📈 Pays back in ~9 months at current MRR

Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.

Where the money goes
🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) +$28K
📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K +$22K
💎 In-app purchase plumbing +$9K
Board complexity ×1.50 +$29K
🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) +$49K
Total estimate $140K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE 💵 Estimated acquisition value
$300K
What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $225K – $400K · 20× MRR multiple
💸 ~2.1× return on build cost

Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from iap / freemium model + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.

How the multiple was built
💎 IAP / freemium model base 28× MRR
★ rating < 3.5 (weak) -18%
🏷 Board category multiple -12%
Final multiple 20× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
1.4M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
140K
Daily active
35K

Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.

How we sized it
📲 Board engagement ~140 installs / rating
🔁 Board D30 retention 10%
📍 DAU / MAU stickiness 0.25
DAU / MAU 25% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter

Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.

Signals we read
🏷 Category context Board
📦 Tiny game bundle → Native 2D engine
🔬

How we forecast this revenue

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Baseline
$700K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+2.5% MoM · BIG tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$690K – $933K
12 months
$741K – $1.1M
24 months
$886K – $1.6M
Compound growth at +2.5% MoM (tier baseline for BIG). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±15% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊

BU Investment Matrix

Concerning · 55/100BIG TIERbelow benchmarks
RevenueQualityMarketGrowthMoatSafetyFounderMonetiz.
Revenue Strength
5.8
Product Quality
6.9
Market Position
0.0
Growth Velocity
5.0
Defensibility
10.0
Operational Safety
5.0
Founder Strength
7.1
Monetization Maturity
4.0
  • 💰 Revenue: Healthy — $280K - $1540K/mo · BIG tier · medium-low confidence, trajectory unclear.
  • ⭐ Quality: 3.44★ across 10,357 reviews — solid.
  • 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
  • 📈 Growth: ⚠ last update 2697d ago — possibly dormant.
  • ⚠️ Risk: Elevated — dormant (2697d since update).
🎯 For competitors: Vulnerable. Quality drift + slow updates create a clear opening for a fresh competitor with active dev cadence.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $12.6M-$22.4M.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:

💰 Forecast Revenue / mo

MODEL
Revenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 4 of 4 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
Mid install base (10,357 ratings)METRIC
+$5,500
Paid app ($1.99)METRIC
+$2,800
Below-average rating (3.4★)METRIC
−$1,500
Mature app (14y old)METRIC
+$1,500
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)

📈 Reviews Growth

LIVE
Cumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.

⭐ Rating Trend

LIVE
Average rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.

Profile & Insights

Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.

Identification

App name
Elder Sign: Omens
Developer
Fantasy Flight Games
Bundle ID
com.fantasyflightgames.ESAndroid
App Store URL
Open in App Store
Category
Board
Content rating
Not found
Languages
Not found

Company

Website
www.fantasyflightgames.com
Tagline
Not found
Description
Not found
Founded
Not found
HQ / Address
Not found
Employees
Not found
Logo
Not found

Revenue

Verified revenue / mo
Not found
AI revenue estimate / mo
Not found
AI annual estimate
Not found
ML model estimate / mo
$15.1K/mo
Top-grossing rank
Not found
All-time revenue
Not found
Pricing
$2.99 per item

Founder

Founder data not yet collected for this app.

Funding

Funding data not yet collected for this app.

Press & Links

Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.

Contacts & Socials

Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth10,357 ratings+29% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾Jul 2023Feb 2025Jul 2026
Tracked (1 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (37 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.

📝 About this app

“GAME OF THE WEEK” - G4TV.com
TOUCH ARCADE - 4.5 out of 5
148APPS.COM - 4.5 out of 5
GAMEZEBO- 4.5 out of 5
BOARD GAME GEEK - 3 out of 4

The tense excitement of Elder Sign is now available for Android! Elder Sign: Omens places you in control of up to four intrepid investigators, as they fight to keep all-powerful Ancient Ones from invading our world through a museum’s arcane exhibits!

*Build a team of unique investigators*
*Explore an ever-changing museum*
*Face challenging arcane tasks*
*Save the world from absolute destruction*… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →
🔖 v1.5.3🔄 updated 0d ago📂 Board💰 Free💎 IAP $2.99 per item
🧪

Tech & Domain Intel — fantasyflightgames.com

Mail provider
Microsoft 365
Tech stack
Microsoft 365 · Apple Pay / Sign in with Apple · Meta (Facebook) Ads · Google Workspace · Atlassian (Jira/Confluence)
Derived from public RDAP + DNS TXT records (no scraping, no login).
🔔

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📝 Description

95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Elder Sign: Omens: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
Read deep-dive →

More by Fantasy Flight Games

View all →
📦 Portfolio summaryINDIE studio
12apps·$36K/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 41%; risk spread across portfolio

Similar apps in Board

About this analysis
ZCAnalyzed by Zakhar Chumak · founder, bumetric·Full methodology·High confidence

Why high confidence: 10,357 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).

Frequently Asked Questions

4 answers · auto-generated from this app's public data
How much does Elder Sign make per month?
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Elder Sign earns approximately $15K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
What apps are like Elder Sign?
Browse the full Board category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
Who makes Elder Sign?
Elder Sign is published by Fantasy Flight Games on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Elder Sign's BU Score?
Elder Sign has a BU Score of 64/100 (Solid). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.