Ball Run 2048: merge number
73
Quality Score
Strong
Ball Run 2048: merge number
High confidence
✍️ bumetric analysis
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Ball Run 2048: merge number is an Android app from KAYAC Inc. in the Casual category, currently rated 4.1★ across 255,972 ratings. Initial signal reads as mixed reviews: supporters praise core features while critics cite stability and value gaps.
Quality Score is 73: Strong (healthy traction). For a Casual app, that means healthy traction. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.
💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$700K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$741K – $1141K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$886K – $1645K
per month
BIG tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
Loading…
Rating
—
Reviews
—
Forecast Revenue / mo
—
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD
💰 Estimated build cost
$115K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $85K – $155K
$25K · MVP floor
$100K · indie scale
$500K+ · studio build
📈
Pays back in ~3.2y at current MRR
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| ⚙ Casual complexity ×1.50 | +$25K |
| 🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) | +$41K |
Total estimate
$115K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE
💵 Estimated acquisition value
$35K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $25K – $45K · 12× MRR multiple
💸
~0.3× build cost (under-water)
Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from ad-supported + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.
How the multiple was built
| 📺 Ad-supported base | 15× MRR |
| 🏷 Casual category multiple | -22% |
| ⭐ Mature user base (100K+ ratings) | +5% |
Final multiple
12× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
56.0M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
3.4M
Daily active
1.1M
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲 Casual engagement | ~220 installs / rating |
| 🔁 Casual D30 retention | 6% |
| 📍 DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.35 |
DAU / MAU
34% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter
Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.
Signals we read
| 🏷 Category context | Casual |
| 📦 Tiny game bundle | → Native 2D engine |
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
MEDIUM CONFIDENCEBaseline
$700K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+2.5% MoM · BIG tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$690K – $933K
12 months
$741K – $1.1M
24 months
$886K – $1.6M
Compound growth at +2.5% MoM (tier baseline for BIG). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±15% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Concerning · 54/100BIG TIERbelow benchmarksGrowth Velocity
5.0
Founder Strength
6.7
Product Quality
8.3
Revenue Strength
5.8
Monetization Maturity
1.0
Defensibility
6.3
Market Position
0.0
Operational Safety
10.0
- 💰 Revenue: Healthy — $280K - $1540K/mo · BIG tier · medium-low confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 4.13★ across 255,972 reviews — strong (top 10%).
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: Insufficient signal to assess trajectory.
- ⚠️ Risk: Low — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $12.6M-$22.4M.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 4 of 4 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| High install base (255,972 ratings)METRIC | +$12,000 | |
| Good rating (4.1★)METRIC | +$800 | |
| Established app (5y old)METRIC | +$800 | |
| Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC | +$600 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- Ball Run 2048: merge number
- Developer
- KAYAC Inc.
- Bundle ID
- com.kayac.ball_run
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Casual
- Content rating
- Not found
- Languages
- Not found
Company
- Website
- kayac.games
- Tagline
- Not found
- Description
- Not found
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Not found
Revenue
- Verified revenue / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- ML model estimate / mo
- $3.0K/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Not found
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- Not found
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth255,972 ratings+52% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾
Tracked (2 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (37 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
📝 About this app
This is a ball game where you have to make the numbers on the balls bigger.
Control the balls with your finger to make them merge with other balls of the same number!
Each time the balls are combined, they get bigger and change color.
The number on the ball starts from 2, when it merges with a ball of the same number, the numbers are added and grows up to a maximum of 2048.
Even children can complete the game, but it is very difficult to reach the goal at 2048.
Control the balls so it does not fall off the course or hit obstacles and try to reach 2048!… View full description on the official store →
Control the balls with your finger to make them merge with other balls of the same number!
Each time the balls are combined, they get bigger and change color.
The number on the ball starts from 2, when it merges with a ball of the same number, the numbers are added and grows up to a maximum of 2048.
Even children can complete the game, but it is very difficult to reach the goal at 2048.
Control the balls so it does not fall off the course or hit obstacles and try to reach 2048!… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →🔖 v0.9.0🔄 updated 0d ago📂 Casual💰 Free📺 Ad-supported
📅
What Worked™ · Development Pipeline
2 EVENTS TRACKEDDetected changes in this app over its tracked lifetime — each event links cause (what changed) to effect (what moved). Sorted newest first.See full history →Version history →
2026-05
🔧
Shipped update — v0.9.0 → v0.9.0
→ 30 days after: reviews +1,284 high confidence
2026-05
🚀
First tracked snapshot — initial data captured
→ 30 days after: reviews +1,284 high confidence
🔔
Track this app’s revenue
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📝 Description
95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Ball Run 2048: merge number: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
More by KAYAC Inc.
View all →📦 Portfolio summaryINDIE studio
14apps·$16K/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 24%; risk spread across portfolio
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About this analysis
Why high confidence: 255,972 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
4 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does Ball Run 2048 make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Ball Run 2048 earns approximately $3.0K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
What apps are like Ball Run 2048?▴
Browse the full Casual category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
Who makes Ball Run 2048?▴
Ball Run 2048 is published by KAYAC Inc. on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Ball Run 2048's BU Score?▴
Ball Run 2048 has a BU Score of 73/100 (Strong). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.