74
Quality Score
Strong
Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR
High confidence
✍️ bumetric analysis
“
Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR is an Android app from New Story Inc. in the Arcade category, currently rated 4.5★ across 55,968 ratings. Initial signal reads as largely positive sentiment, users highlighting consistency and feature depth.
Quality Score is 74: Strong (healthy traction). For a Arcade app, that means healthy traction. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.
💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$700K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$741K – $1141K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$886K – $1645K
per month
BIG tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
Loading…
Rating
—
Reviews
—
Forecast Revenue / mo
—
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD💰 Estimated build cost
$210K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $160K – $285K
$25K · MVP floor$100K · indie scale$500K+ · studio build
📈Slow ROI — current MRR is well below build cost
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| 💎In-app purchase plumbing | +$9K |
| ⚙Arcade complexity ×1.90 | +$53K |
| 🌐Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) | +$62K |
| ⚙5.5y maintenance × ~1-person team | +$32K |
Total estimate$210K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE💵 Estimated acquisition value
$35K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $30K – $50K · 29× MRR multiple
💸~0.2× build cost (under-water)
Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from iap / freemium model + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.
How the multiple was built
| 💎IAP / freemium model base | 28× MRR |
| 📅5.5y proven track record | +20% |
| ⭐★ rating ≥ 4.4 (solid) | +8% |
| 🏷Arcade category multiple | -20% |
Final multiple29× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
8.1M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
320K
Daily active
80K
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲Arcade engagement | ~200 installs / rating |
| 📅5.5y of rating accumulation | -27% |
| 🔁Arcade D30 retention | 5% |
| 📍DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.25 |
DAU / MAU25% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter
Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.
Signals we read
| 🏷Category context | Arcade |
| 📦Tiny game bundle | → Native 2D engine |
💀 Maintenance status
Active
15%
Last shipped 2026-04-23 · 32 days ago
0 · Active50 · At risk100 · Abandoned
Heuristic risk score from time-since-last-update + ratings velocity proxy + Editor's Choice / curated featuring signals. Calibrated against 2024-2025 app-store ranking decay reports. Not a guarantee — a quiet app with a healthy codebase looks the same as an abandoned one until something breaks. Full math on /methodology.
Risk signals
| 📅32 days since last update | Healthy release cadence |
VerdictActive
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
MEDIUM CONFIDENCEBaseline
$700K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+2.5% MoM · BIG tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$690K – $933K
12 months
$741K – $1.1M
24 months
$886K – $1.6M
Compound growth at +2.5% MoM (tier baseline for BIG). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±15% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Mixed signals · 63/100BIG TIERcompetitive but cautiousGrowth Velocity
5.0
Founder Strength
6.7
Product Quality
9.0
Revenue Strength
5.8
Monetization Maturity
5.0
Defensibility
8.9
Market Position
0.0
Operational Safety
10.0
- 💰 Revenue: Healthy — $280K - $1540K/mo · BIG tier · medium-low confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 4.52★ across 55,968 reviews — exceptional (top 1% in category).
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: Insufficient signal to assess trajectory.
- ⚠️ Risk: Low — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Strong subscription moat. Hard to outcompete on retention. Better angle: free alternative with one-time purchase, or feature parity for an underserved sub-niche.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $12.6M-$22.4M.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 4 of 4 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| Mid install base (55,968 ratings)METRIC | +$5,500 | |
| Excellent rating (4.5★)METRIC | +$2,200 | |
| Established app (5y old)METRIC | +$800 | |
| Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC | +$600 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →🔖 v0.9.7🔄 updated 1mo ago📂 Arcade💰 Free📺 Ad-supported💎 IAP $2.99 - $79.99 per item🚀 Launched 2020 (5y old)
📝 About this app
Come and play this amazing drawing game, “Idle Draw Earth”!
Love nature? This is a fun, calm and relaxing game of harvesting.
You can create your own characters and expand your island. You don’t have to battle in this game.
The sketchbook is all yours. Let’s make it grow bigger! Think big, play big! Build your colony!
Wondering what “idle” means?
Play this as if you are on a raft or on an island on an open sea.
Scribble to make characters that you wish to design.
Why wait? Stay calm. Transform your mind. The open sea is all yours.… View full description on the official store →
Love nature? This is a fun, calm and relaxing game of harvesting.
You can create your own characters and expand your island. You don’t have to battle in this game.
The sketchbook is all yours. Let’s make it grow bigger! Think big, play big! Build your colony!
Wondering what “idle” means?
Play this as if you are on a raft or on an island on an open sea.
Scribble to make characters that you wish to design.
Why wait? Stay calm. Transform your mind. The open sea is all yours.… View full description on the official store →
🔔
Track this app’s revenue
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Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR
- Developer
- New Story Inc.
- Bundle ID
- com.newstory.IdleDrawEarth
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Arcade
- Content rating
- Not found
- Languages
- Not found
Company
- Website
- newstory-inc.com
- Tagline
- Not found
- Description
- Not found
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Not found
Revenue
- Verified revenue / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- ML model estimate / mo
- $1.3K/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Not found
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- $2.99 - $79.99 per item
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth55,968 ratings+62% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾
Tracked (1 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (36 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
More by New Story Inc.
View all →📦 Portfolio summaryINDIE studio
24apps·$14K/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 23%; risk spread across portfolio
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
About this analysis
Why high confidence: 55,968 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
10 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR earns approximately $1.3K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
Is Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR profitable?▴
With estimated build cost $210K and monthly revenue $1.3K, Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR looks well below break-even — current monthly revenue is much smaller than the estimated build cost. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.
How many users does Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR have?▴
Estimated audience: ~8.1M lifetime downloads, ~320K monthly active users, and ~80K daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.
What apps are like Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR?▴
Browse the full Arcade category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
What is Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR built with?▴
Our heuristic places Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.
Is Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR still actively maintained?▴
Maintenance status: Active (15% abandonment risk). Last shipped version was 1 months ago. The risk score combines time-since-last-update with Editor's Choice / curated featuring + user-base maturity adjustments.
How much would Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR sell for?▴
Estimated acquisition value: $35K (marketplace range $30K – $50K). Calculated as 29× monthly revenue using the standard multiple for the detected monetization model + adjustments for age, rating quality and category demand. Calibrated against 2024-2026 Flippa / Acquire.com / MicroAcquire closed-deal medians.
When was Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR last updated?▴
Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR last shipped a new version on 2026-04-23 — 1 months ago. This is the date Apple / Google last accepted a new build, not a content-only push.
Who makes Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR?▴
Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR is published by New Story Inc. on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR's BU Score?▴
Idle Draw Earth - Water ASMR has a BU Score of 74/100 (Strong). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.