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Death Incoming!

76
Quality Score
Strong

Death Incoming!

High confidence
4.5 Google Play rating
✍️ Bumetric analysis

Death Incoming! is an Android app from Lion Studios in the Adventure category, currently rated 4.5★ across 160,581 ratings. Initial signal reads as mixed reviews: supporters praise core features while critics cite stability and value gaps.

Quality Score is 76: Strong (healthy traction). For a Adventure app, that means healthy traction. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.

Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.

💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$700K
per month
12-mo forecast
$741K – $1141K
per month
24-mo forecast
$886K – $1645K
per month
BIG tier
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📊 Performance Tracking LIVE

5 snapshots on record
idle
0%
Rating
4.5
Reviews
160,581 reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
$700K
Snapshots tracked
5
since May 2026
ONE-TIME · BUILD 💰 Estimated build cost
$230K
What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $170K – $310K
$25K · MVP floor $100K · indie scale $500K+ · studio build
📈 Pays back in under a month at current MRR

Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.

Where the money goes
🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) +$28K
📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K +$22K
💎 In-app purchase plumbing +$9K
Adventure complexity ×2.10 +$65K
🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) +$68K
6.1y maintenance × ~1-person team +$36K
Total estimate $230K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE 💵 Estimated acquisition value
$22.5M
What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $17.0M – $29.5M · 32× MRR multiple
💸 ~98× return on build cost

Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from iap / freemium model + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.

How the multiple was built
💎 IAP / freemium model base 28× MRR
📅 6.1y proven track record +20%
★ rating ≥ 4.4 (solid) +8%
🏷 Adventure category multiple -15%
Mature user base (100K+ ratings) +5%
Final multiple 32× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
15.5M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
1.4M
Daily active
405K

Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.

How we sized it
📲 Adventure engagement ~140 installs / rating
📅 6.1y of rating accumulation -30%
🔁 Adventure D30 retention 12%
📍 DAU / MAU stickiness 0.30
DAU / MAU 30% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter

Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.

Signals we read
🏷 Category context Adventure
📦 Tiny game bundle → Native 2D engine
💀 Maintenance status
Active
5%
Last shipped 2026-09-08 · 16 days ago
0 · Active 50 · At risk 100 · Abandoned

Heuristic risk score from time-since-last-update + ratings velocity proxy + Editor's Choice / curated featuring signals. Calibrated against 2024-2025 app-store ranking decay reports. Not a guarantee — a quiet app with a healthy codebase looks the same as an abandoned one until something breaks. Full math on /methodology.

Risk signals
📅 16 days since last update Active development
Verdict Active
🔬

How we forecast this revenue

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Baseline
$700K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+2.5% MoM · BIG tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$690K – $933K
12 months
$741K – $1.1M
24 months
$886K – $1.6M
Compound growth at +2.5% MoM (tier baseline for BIG). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±15% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊

BU Investment Matrix

Mixed signals · 63/100BIG TIERcompetitive but cautious
GrowthFounderQualityRevenueMonetiz.MoatMarketSafety
Growth Velocity
5.0
Founder Strength
6.3
Product Quality
9.0
Revenue Strength
5.8
Monetization Maturity
5.0
Defensibility
9.0
Market Position
0.0
Operational Safety
10.0
  • 💰 Revenue: Healthy — $280K - $1540K/mo · BIG tier · medium-low confidence, trajectory unclear.
  • ⭐ Quality: 4.49★ across 160,581 reviews — strong (top 10%).
  • 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
  • 📈 Growth: dev shipping weekly.
  • ⚠️ Risk: Low — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Strong subscription moat. Hard to outcompete on retention. Better angle: free alternative with one-time purchase, or feature parity for an underserved sub-niche.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $12.6M-$22.4M.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:

💰 Forecast Revenue / mo

MODEL
Revenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 5 of 5 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
High install base (160,581 ratings)METRIC
+$12,000
bugsREVIEW
−$1,800
Good rating (4.5★)METRIC
+$800
Established app (6y old)METRIC
+$800
Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC
+$600
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)

📈 Reviews Growth

LIVE
Cumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.

⭐ Rating Trend

LIVE
Average rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.

Profile & Insights

Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.

Identification

App name
Death Incoming!
Developer
Lion Studios
Bundle ID
com.oneway.Deathcoming
App Store URL
Open in App Store
Category
Adventure
Content rating
Not found
Languages
Not found

Company

Website
lionstudios.cc
Tagline
Not found
Description
Not found
Founded
Not found
HQ / Address
Not found
Employees
Not found
Logo
Not found

Revenue

Reported revenue signal / mo
Not found
AI revenue estimate / mo
Not found
AI annual estimate
Not found
Model estimate / mo
$700K/mo
Top-grossing rank
Not found
All-time revenue
Not found
Pricing
$2.99 per item

Founder

Founder data not yet collected for this app.

Funding

Funding data not yet collected for this app.

Press & Links

Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.

Contacts & Socials

Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
🚀Update Frequency · Releases per Quarter4 releases tracked
22Q2 2026Q3 2026
🚀Version Release Timeline4 releases tracked
v2.1.14May 2026v2.1.24Jun 2026v2.1.26Jul 2026v2.1.31Sep 2026
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.

📝 About this app

Are you a fan of watching people die in horrifically entertaining ways? Do you enjoy watching folks get exactly what they deserve? Or is it just another day, another death for you? It’s time to grab your cloak and scythe and get ready to harvest some souls while solving these deadly brain puzzles.

Did someone get the bright idea to hop on a trampoline next to an open construction site? Or maybe someone decided to get a little too close to the tiger pit at the local zoo. Each new chapter of Death Coming introduces you to all kinds of fun scenarios where you; The Grim Reaper, A.K.A.… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →
🔖 v2.1.31🔄 updated 2w ago📂 Adventure💰 Free📺 Ad-supported💎 IAP $2.99 per item🚀 Launched 2020 (6y old)
📅

What Worked™ · Development Pipeline

6 EVENTS TRACKED
Detected changes in this app over its tracked lifetime — each event links cause (what changed) to effect (what moved). Sorted newest first.See full history →Version history →
2026-09
🔧
Shipped update — v2.1.26 → v2.1.31
→ 30 days after: reviews +129 high confidence
2026-08
🔧
Shipped update — v2.1.26 → v2.1.26
→ 30 days after: reviews +296 high confidence
2026-07
📸
Refreshed store screenshots — 8 of 8 updated
→ 30 days after: reviews +167 medium · co-occurring
2026-07
🔧
Shipped update — v2.1.24 → v2.1.26
→ 30 days after: reviews +427 medium · co-occurring
2026-06
🔧
Shipped update — v2.1.14 → v2.1.24
→ 30 days after: reviews +806 medium · co-occurring
2026-05
🚀
First tracked snapshot — initial data captured
→ 30 days after: reviews +546 high confidence
📸

Store Page History

8 SCREENSHOT CHANGES
Every time a developer swaps a store screenshot we archive both versions. Compare side-by-side to see what messaging / visuals changed.
iPhone screenshots
Slot 1
2 ver.
2026-05-06
Now
2026-07-12
Slot 2
2 ver.
2026-05-06
Now
2026-07-12
Slot 3
2 ver.
2026-05-06
Now
2026-07-12
Slot 4
2 ver.
2026-05-06
Now
2026-07-12
Slot 5
2 ver.
2026-05-06
Now
2026-07-12
Slot 6
2 ver.
2026-05-06
Now
2026-07-12
🔔

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📝 Description

95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Death Incoming!: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
Read deep-dive →

More by Lion Studios

View all →
📦 Portfolio summaryMEGA studio
51apps·$31.6M/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 5%; risk spread across portfolio

Similar apps in Adventure

About this analysis
ZCAnalyzed by Zakhar Chumak · founder, Bumetric·Full methodology·High confidence

Why high confidence: 160,581 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).

Frequently Asked Questions

10 answers · auto-generated from this app's public data
How much does Death Incoming! make per month?
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Death Incoming! earns approximately $700K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
Is Death Incoming! profitable?
With estimated build cost $230K and monthly revenue $700K, Death Incoming! looks highly profitable — pays back its build investment in under a month at the current run-rate. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.
How many users does Death Incoming! have?
Estimated audience: ~15.5M lifetime downloads, ~1.4M monthly active users, and ~405K daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.
What apps are like Death Incoming!?
Browse the full Adventure category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
What is Death Incoming! built with?
Our heuristic places Death Incoming! on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.
Is Death Incoming! still actively maintained?
Maintenance status: Active (5% abandonment risk). Last shipped version was 16 days ago. The risk score combines time-since-last-update with Editor's Choice / curated featuring + user-base maturity adjustments.
How much would Death Incoming! sell for?
Estimated acquisition value: $22.5M (marketplace range $17.0M – $29.5M). Calculated as 32× monthly revenue using the standard multiple for the detected monetization model + adjustments for age, rating quality and category demand. Calibrated against 2024-2026 Flippa / Acquire.com / MicroAcquire closed-deal medians.
When was Death Incoming! last updated?
Death Incoming! last shipped a new version on 2026-09-08 — less than a month ago. This is the date Apple / Google last accepted a new build, not a content-only push.
Who makes Death Incoming!?
Death Incoming! is published by Lion Studios on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Death Incoming!'s BU Score?
Death Incoming! has a BU Score of 76/100 (Strong). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.