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Mercenaries Saga2

50
Quality Score
Solid

Mercenaries Saga2

Medium confidence
3.5 Google Play rating
✍️ Bumetric analysis
“

Mercenaries Saga2 is an Android app from RideonJapan,Inc. in the Simulation category, currently rated 3.5★ across 1,394 ratings. Initial signal reads as largely positive sentiment, users highlighting consistency and feature depth.

Quality Score is 50: Solid (established niche player). For a Simulation app, that means established niche player. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.

Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.

💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$5.0K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$5.2K – $10.8K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$6.4K – $19.2K
per month
MID tier
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📊 Performance Tracking LIVE

1 snapshots on record
idle
0%
Rating
3.5
Reviews
1,394 reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
$5.0K
Snapshots tracked
1
since May 2026
ONE-TIME · BUILD 💰 Estimated build cost
$245K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $185K – $330K
$25K · MVP floor $100K · indie scale $500K+ · studio build
📈 Pays back in ~4.1y at current MRR

Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.

Where the money goes
🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) +$28K
📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K +$22K
💎 In-app purchase plumbing +$9K
⚙ Simulation complexity ×2.00 +$59K
🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) +$65K
⚙ 9.9y maintenance × ~1-person team +$59K
Total estimate $245K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE 💵 Estimated acquisition value
$125K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $100K – $150K · 25× MRR multiple
💸 ~0.5× build cost (under-water)

Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from iap / freemium model + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.

How the multiple was built
💎 IAP / freemium model base 28× MRR
📅 9.9y proven track record +20%
⭐ ★ rating < 3.5 (weak) -18%
🏷 Simulation category multiple -10%
Final multiple 25× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
135K
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
10K
Daily active
3.1K

Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.

How we sized it
📲 Simulation engagement ~140 installs / rating
📅 9.9y of rating accumulation -30%
🔁 Simulation D30 retention 15%
📍 DAU / MAU stickiness 0.30
DAU / MAU 30% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter

Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.

Signals we read
🏷 Category context Simulation
📦 Tiny game bundle → Native 2D engine
💀 Maintenance status
At risk
50%
Last shipped 2025-10-06 · 359 days ago
0 · Active 50 · At risk 100 · Abandoned

Heuristic risk score from time-since-last-update + ratings velocity proxy + Editor's Choice / curated featuring signals. Calibrated against 2024-2025 app-store ranking decay reports. Not a guarantee — a quiet app with a healthy codebase looks the same as an abandoned one until something breaks. Full math on /methodology.

Risk signals
📅 11 months since last update Concerning gap
Verdict At risk
🔬

How we forecast this revenue

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Baseline
$5.0K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+4.0% MoM · MID tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$4.7K – $7.9K
12 months
$5.2K – $10.8K
24 months
$6.4K – $19.2K
Compound growth at +4.0% MoM (tier baseline for MID). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±25% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊

BU Investment Matrix

Below median · 52/100MID TIERunderperforming peers
GrowthFounderQualityRevenueMonetiz.MoatMarketSafety
Growth Velocity
5.0
Founder Strength
5.5
Product Quality
6.2
Revenue Strength
3.7
Monetization Maturity
4.0
Defensibility
10.0
Market Position
0.0
Operational Safety
7.0
  • 💰 Revenue: Modest — $3K - $7K/mo · MID tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
  • ⭐ Quality: 3.47★ across 1,394 reviews — solid.
  • 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
  • 📈 Growth: last update 354d ago — slow cadence.
  • ⚠️ Risk: Moderate — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $90K-$160K.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:

💰 Forecast Revenue / mo

MODEL
Revenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 5 of 5 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
Low install base (1,394 ratings)METRIC
+$1,500
Below-average rating (3.5★)METRIC
−$1,500
Mature app (9y old)METRIC
+$1,500
highly recommendREVIEW
+$1,400
Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC
+$600
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)

📈 Reviews Growth

LIVE
Cumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.

⭐ Rating Trend

LIVE
Average rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.

Profile & Insights

Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.

Identification

App name
Mercenaries Saga2
Developer
RideonJapan,Inc.
Bundle ID
com.rideon.merce_saga2eng
App Store URL
Open in App Store
Category
Simulation
Content rating
Not found
Languages
Not found

Company

Website
www.rideonjapan.co.jp
Tagline
Not found
Description
Not found
Founded
Not found
HQ / Address
Not found
Employees
Not found
Logo
Not found

Revenue

Reported revenue signal / mo
Not found
AI revenue estimate / mo
Not found
AI annual estimate
Not found
Model estimate / mo
$5.0K/mo
Top-grossing rank
Not found
All-time revenue
Not found
Pricing
$0.99 - $11.99 per item

Founder

Founder data not yet collected for this app.

Funding

Funding data not yet collected for this app.

Press & Links

Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.

Contacts & Socials

Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.

📝 About this app

・Limited Time Sale!
『Unlock Full Game』40% OFF! JP\500-->JP¥300


・Please Note
"Mercenaries Saga2" is free until Chapter 6.
Please buy the "Unlock Full Game" after making sure it is running
without any problems in your Andorid terminal.


・About the App
In "Mercenaries Saga2", control multiple units, starting with the
Silver Eagle Order leader Claude, to defeat enemy units in battle to
clear each game stage.

With formidable and precise AI-backed enemies, and level increases via
free battles, this game has lots of deep experiences to keep you entertained.… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →
🔖 v1.4.4🔄 updated 11mo ago📂 Simulation💰 Free💎 IAP $0.99 - $11.99 per item🚀 Launched 2016 (9y old)
🔔

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📝 Description

95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Mercenaries Saga2: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
Read deep-dive →

More by RideonJapan,Inc.

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📦 Portfolio summaryINDIE studio
8apps·$25K/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 32%; risk spread across portfolio

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About this analysis
ZCAnalyzed by Zakhar Chumak · founder, Bumetric·Full methodology·Medium confidence

Why medium confidence: 1,394 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).