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Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game

76
Quality Score
Strong

Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game

High confidence
4.7 Google Play rating
✍️ Bumetric analysis

Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game is an Android app from Runaway Play in the Casual category, currently rated 4.7★ across 55,828 ratings. Initial signal reads as largely positive sentiment, users highlighting consistency and feature depth.

Quality Score is 76: Strong (healthy traction). For a Casual app, that means healthy traction. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.

Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.

💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$700K
per month
12-mo forecast
$741K – $1141K
per month
24-mo forecast
$886K – $1645K
per month
BIG tier
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📊 Performance Tracking LIVE

5 snapshots on record
idle
0%
Rating
4.7
Reviews
55,828 reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
$700K
Snapshots tracked
5
since May 2026
ONE-TIME · BUILD 💰 Estimated build cost
$200K
What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $150K – $270K
$25K · MVP floor $100K · indie scale $500K+ · studio build
📈 Pays back in under a month at current MRR

Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.

Where the money goes
🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) +$28K
📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K +$22K
💎 In-app purchase plumbing +$9K
Casual complexity ×1.50 +$29K
🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) +$49K
10.3y maintenance × ~1-person team +$61K
Total estimate $200K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE 💵 Estimated acquisition value
$21.0M
What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $16.0M – $27.5M · 30× MRR multiple
💸 ~105× return on build cost

Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from iap / freemium model + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.

How the multiple was built
💎 IAP / freemium model base 28× MRR
📅 10.3y proven track record +20%
★ rating ≥ 4.7 (premium) +15%
🏷 Casual category multiple -22%
Final multiple 30× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
8.6M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
255K
Daily active
89K

Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.

How we sized it
📲 Casual engagement ~220 installs / rating
📅 10.3y of rating accumulation -30%
🔁 Casual D30 retention 6%
📍 DAU / MAU stickiness 0.35
DAU / MAU 35% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter

Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.

Signals we read
🏷 Category context Casual
📦 Tiny game bundle → Native 2D engine
💀 Maintenance status
Active
5%
Last shipped 2026-09-10 · 14 days ago
0 · Active 50 · At risk 100 · Abandoned

Heuristic risk score from time-since-last-update + ratings velocity proxy + Editor's Choice / curated featuring signals. Calibrated against 2024-2025 app-store ranking decay reports. Not a guarantee — a quiet app with a healthy codebase looks the same as an abandoned one until something breaks. Full math on /methodology.

Risk signals
📅 14 days since last update Active development
Verdict Active
🔬

How we forecast this revenue

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Baseline
$700K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+2.5% MoM · BIG tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$690K – $933K
12 months
$741K – $1.1M
24 months
$886K – $1.6M
Compound growth at +2.5% MoM (tier baseline for BIG). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±15% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊

BU Investment Matrix

Mixed signals · 63/100BIG TIERcompetitive but cautious
RevenueQualityMarketGrowthMoatSafetyFounderMonetiz.
Revenue Strength
5.8
Product Quality
9.4
Market Position
0.0
Growth Velocity
5.0
Defensibility
10.0
Operational Safety
10.0
Founder Strength
5.2
Monetization Maturity
5.0
  • 💰 Revenue: Healthy — $280K - $1540K/mo · BIG tier · medium-low confidence, trajectory unclear.
  • ⭐ Quality: 4.72★ across 55,828 reviews — exceptional (top 1% in category).
  • 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
  • 📈 Growth: Insufficient signal to assess trajectory.
  • ⚠️ Risk: Low — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Strong subscription moat. Hard to outcompete on retention. Better angle: free alternative with one-time purchase, or feature parity for an underserved sub-niche.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $12.6M-$22.4M.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:

💰 Forecast Revenue / mo

MODEL
Revenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 7 of 7 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
Mid install base (55,828 ratings)METRIC
+$5,500
Excellent rating (4.7★)METRIC
+$2,200
bugsREVIEW
−$1,800
Mature app (10y old)METRIC
+$1,500
highly recommendREVIEW
+$1,400
slowREVIEW
−$1,200
Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC
+$600
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)

📈 Reviews Growth

LIVE
Cumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.

⭐ Rating Trend

LIVE
Average rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.

Profile & Insights

Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.

Identification

App name
Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game
Developer
Runaway Play
Bundle ID
com.runawayplay.starlight
App Store URL
Open in App Store
Category
Casual
Content rating
Not found
Languages
Not found

Company

Website
runawayplay.com
Tagline
Not found
Description
Not found
Founded
Not found
HQ / Address
Not found
Employees
Not found
Logo
Not found

Revenue

Reported revenue signal / mo
Not found
AI revenue estimate / mo
Not found
AI annual estimate
Not found
Model estimate / mo
$700K/mo
Top-grossing rank
Not found
All-time revenue
Not found
Pricing
$0.99 - $99.99 per item

Founder

Founder data not yet collected for this app.

Funding

Funding data not yet collected for this app.

Press & Links

Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.

Contacts & Socials

Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
🚀Version Release Timeline2 releases tracked
v2.244May 2026v2.250Jun 2026
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.

📝 About this app

Enter the cozy world of Flutter: Starlight! Discover the delight of nurturing and collecting moths in a serene, moonlit forest. You'll soon discover moths are just as beautiful as any butterfly in this relaxing cozy game.

Immerse yourself in the relaxing forest ambience as you nurture moths through their enchanting lifecycle, from adorable caterpillars to majestic moths. Guide them through the cozy haven, bursting dandelions and collecting pollen. Behold their beauty and quirks as they flutter and play!

Build your moth collection and learn about each breed in the Flutterpedia.… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →
🔖 v2.250🔄 updated 2w ago📂 Casual💰 Free📺 Ad-supported💎 IAP $0.99 - $99.99 per item🚀 Launched 2016 (10y old)
📅

What Worked™ · Development Pipeline

3 EVENTS TRACKED
Detected changes in this app over its tracked lifetime — each event links cause (what changed) to effect (what moved). Sorted newest first.See full history →Version history →
2026-09
🔧
Shipped update — v2.250 → v2.250
→ 30 days after: reviews +446 medium · co-occurring
2026-05
🔧
Shipped update — v2.244 → v2.250
→ 30 days after: reviews +271 high confidence
2026-05
🚀
First tracked snapshot — initial data captured
→ 30 days after: reviews +271 high confidence
🧪

Tech & Domain Intel — runawayplay.com

Mail provider
Google Workspace
Tech stack
Atlassian (Jira/Confluence) · Google Workspace
Derived from public RDAP + DNS TXT records (no scraping, no login).
🔔

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📝 Description

95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
Read deep-dive →

More by Runaway Play

View all →
📦 Portfolio summaryBIG studio
6apps·$2.8M/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 25%; risk spread across portfolio

Similar apps in Casual

About this analysis
ZCAnalyzed by Zakhar Chumak · founder, Bumetric·Full methodology·High confidence

Why high confidence: 55,828 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).

Frequently Asked Questions

10 answers · auto-generated from this app's public data
How much does Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game make per month?
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game earns approximately $700K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
Is Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game profitable?
With estimated build cost $200K and monthly revenue $700K, Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game looks highly profitable — pays back its build investment in under a month at the current run-rate. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.
How many users does Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game have?
Estimated audience: ~8.6M lifetime downloads, ~255K monthly active users, and ~89K daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.
What apps are like Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game?
Browse the full Casual category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
What is Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game built with?
Our heuristic places Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.
Is Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game still actively maintained?
Maintenance status: Active (5% abandonment risk). Last shipped version was 14 days ago. The risk score combines time-since-last-update with Editor's Choice / curated featuring + user-base maturity adjustments.
How much would Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game sell for?
Estimated acquisition value: $21.0M (marketplace range $16.0M – $27.5M). Calculated as 30× monthly revenue using the standard multiple for the detected monetization model + adjustments for age, rating quality and category demand. Calibrated against 2024-2026 Flippa / Acquire.com / MicroAcquire closed-deal medians.
When was Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game last updated?
Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game last shipped a new version on 2026-09-10 — less than a month ago. This is the date Apple / Google last accepted a new build, not a content-only push.
Who makes Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game?
Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game is published by Runaway Play on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game's BU Score?
Flutter Starlight — Cozy Game has a BU Score of 76/100 (Strong). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.