Heartbreak Girl
66
Quality Score
Solid
Heartbreak Girl
High confidence
✍️ bumetric analysis
“
Heartbreak Girl is an Android app from TabTale in the Casual category, currently rated 4.0★ across 18,471 ratings. Initial signal reads as mixed reviews: supporters praise core features while critics cite stability and value gaps.
Quality Score is 66: Solid (established niche player). For a Casual app, that means established niche player. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.
💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$700K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$741K – $1141K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$886K – $1645K
per month
BIG tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
Loading…
Rating
—
Reviews
—
Forecast Revenue / mo
—
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD💰 Estimated build cost
$140K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $105K – $190K
$25K · MVP floor$100K · indie scale$500K+ · studio build
📈Slow ROI — current MRR is well below build cost
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| 💎In-app purchase plumbing | +$9K |
| ⚙Casual complexity ×1.50 | +$29K |
| 🌐Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) | +$49K |
Total estimate$140K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE💵 Estimated acquisition value
$25K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $20K – $35K · 22× MRR multiple
💸~0.2× build cost (under-water)
Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from iap / freemium model + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.
How the multiple was built
| 💎IAP / freemium model base | 28× MRR |
| 🏷Casual category multiple | -22% |
Final multiple22× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
4.0M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
240K
Daily active
84K
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲Casual engagement | ~220 installs / rating |
| 🔁Casual D30 retention | 6% |
| 📍DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.35 |
DAU / MAU35% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter
Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.
Signals we read
| 🏷Category context | Casual |
| 📦Tiny game bundle | → Native 2D engine |
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
MEDIUM CONFIDENCEBaseline
$700K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+2.5% MoM · BIG tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$690K – $933K
12 months
$741K – $1.1M
24 months
$886K – $1.6M
Compound growth at +2.5% MoM (tier baseline for BIG). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±15% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Mixed signals · 60/100BIG TIERcompetitive but cautiousRevenue Strength
5.8
Product Quality
8.0
Market Position
0.0
Growth Velocity
5.0
Defensibility
9.8
Operational Safety
7.0
Founder Strength
7.4
Monetization Maturity
5.0
- 💰 Revenue: Healthy — $280K - $1540K/mo · BIG tier · medium-low confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 4.0★ across 18,471 reviews — strong (top 10%).
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: ⚠ last update 954d ago — possibly dormant.
- ⚠️ Risk: Moderate — dormant (954d since update).
🎯 For competitors: Strong subscription moat. Hard to outcompete on retention. Better angle: free alternative with one-time purchase, or feature parity for an underserved sub-niche.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $12.6M-$22.4M.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 4 of 4 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| Mid install base (18,471 ratings)METRIC | +$5,500 | |
| Mature app (8y old)METRIC | +$1,500 | |
| Good rating (4.0★)METRIC | +$800 | |
| Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC | +$600 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →🔖 v1.1.3🔄 updated 0d ago📂 Casual💰 Free📺 Ad-supported💎 IAP $0.99 - $5.99 per item
📝 About this app
What could be more fun than new besties hanging out… right??? That is, until one bestie gets a crush on the other. Will the poor bestie be forever friend-zoned, or does he have a chance of capturing his crush’s heart?
Having a bestie is all fun and games... Until your bestie starts having deeper feelings and realizes he might be stuck in the friend zone forever. Sometimes it even takes dating a jerk to help girls realize that their sweet bestie is really the one that deserves their love. Could it be that something more than friendship is developing... maybe even LOVE?!
Features:… View full description on the official store →
Having a bestie is all fun and games... Until your bestie starts having deeper feelings and realizes he might be stuck in the friend zone forever. Sometimes it even takes dating a jerk to help girls realize that their sweet bestie is really the one that deserves their love. Could it be that something more than friendship is developing... maybe even LOVE?!
Features:… View full description on the official store →
🧪
Tech & Domain Intel — tabtale.com
- Mail provider
- Google Workspace
- Tech stack
- Anthropic · Atlassian (Jira/Confluence) · OpenAI
Derived from public RDAP + DNS TXT records (no scraping, no login).
🔔
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Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- Heartbreak Girl
- Developer
- TabTale
- Bundle ID
- com.tabtale.heartbreakgirl
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Casual
- Content rating
- Not found
- Languages
- Not found
Company
- Website
- www.tabtale.com
- Tagline
- Not found
- Description
- Not found
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Not found
Revenue
- Verified revenue / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- ML model estimate / mo
- $1.2K/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Not found
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- $0.99 - $5.99 per item
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth18,471 ratings+14% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾
Tracked (1 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (36 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
📝 Description
95
BU Score · Transcendent
More by TabTale
View all →📦 Portfolio summaryINDIE studio
45apps·$71K/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 5%; risk spread across portfolio
Similar apps in Casual
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Heartbreak Girl: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
About this analysis
Why high confidence: 18,471 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
8 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does Heartbreak Girl make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Heartbreak Girl earns approximately $1.2K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
Is Heartbreak Girl profitable?▴
With estimated build cost $140K and monthly revenue $1.2K, Heartbreak Girl looks well below break-even — current monthly revenue is much smaller than the estimated build cost. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.
How many users does Heartbreak Girl have?▴
Estimated audience: ~4.0M lifetime downloads, ~240K monthly active users, and ~84K daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.
What apps are like Heartbreak Girl?▴
Browse the full Casual category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
What is Heartbreak Girl built with?▴
Our heuristic places Heartbreak Girl on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.
How much would Heartbreak Girl sell for?▴
Estimated acquisition value: $25K (marketplace range $20K – $35K). Calculated as 22× monthly revenue using the standard multiple for the detected monetization model + adjustments for age, rating quality and category demand. Calibrated against 2024-2026 Flippa / Acquire.com / MicroAcquire closed-deal medians.
Who makes Heartbreak Girl?▴
Heartbreak Girl is published by TabTale on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Heartbreak Girl's BU Score?▴
Heartbreak Girl has a BU Score of 66/100 (Solid). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.