How much does The Bonfire make per month?

Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, The Bonfire earns approximately $5.0K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.

Is The Bonfire profitable?

With estimated build cost $195K and monthly revenue $5.0K, The Bonfire looks slow ROI — payback period is around 3.2 years at the current run-rate. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.

How many users does The Bonfire have?

Estimated audience: ~5.4M lifetime downloads, ~970K monthly active users, and ~335K daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.

What apps are like The Bonfire?

Browse the full Strategy category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.

What is The Bonfire built with?

Our heuristic places The Bonfire on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.

How much would The Bonfire sell for?

Estimated acquisition value: $125K (marketplace range $100K – $150K). Calculated as 24× monthly revenue using the standard multiple for the detected monetization model + adjustments for age, rating quality and category demand. Calibrated against 2024-2026 Flippa / Acquire.com / MicroAcquire closed-deal medians.

Who makes The Bonfire?

The Bonfire is published by Xigma Games on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.

What is The Bonfire's BU Score?

The Bonfire has a BU Score of 66/100 (Solid). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.

The Bonfire: Forsaken Lands

Quality Score

Solid

The Bonfire: Forsaken Lands

Name: The Bonfire: Forsaken Lands — app revenue, audience, build cost & risk profile
Creator: Bumetric
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Keywords: The Bonfire: Forsaken Lands revenue, The Bonfire: Forsaken Lands app analytics, mobile app revenue estimate, Strategy revenue, Android app revenue

by Xigma Games

High confidence

3.8 Google Play rating

✍️ Bumetric analysis

“

The Bonfire: Forsaken Lands is an Android app from Xigma Games in the Strategy category, currently rated 3.8★ across 41,793 ratings. Initial signal reads as mixed reviews: supporters praise core features while critics cite stability and value gaps.

Quality Score is 66: Solid (established niche player). For a Strategy app, that means established niche player. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.

Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.

💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast

● Right now

$5.0K

per month

→

12-mo forecast

$5.2K – $10.8K

per month

→

24-mo forecast

$6.4K – $19.2K

per month

MID tier

💡 Grow this revenue

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Title & subtitle keyword fit
Description hook & conversion structure
Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy

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Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs

📊 Performance Tracking LIVE

5 snapshots on record

idle

Rating

3.8

Reviews

41,793 reviews

Forecast Revenue / mo

$5.0K

Snapshots tracked

since May 2026

ONE-TIME · BUILD 💰 Estimated build cost

$195K

↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue

Likely range $145K – $265K

$25K · MVP floor $100K · indie scale $500K+ · studio build

📈 Pays back in ~3.2y at current MRR

Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.

Where the money goes

🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship)	+$28K
📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K	+$22K
💎 In-app purchase plumbing	+$9K
⚙ Strategy complexity ×2.10	+$65K
🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android)	+$68K

Total estimate $195K

ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE 💵 Estimated acquisition value

$125K

↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue

Marketplace range $100K – $150K · 24× MRR multiple

💸 ~0.6× build cost (under-water)

Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from iap / freemium model + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.

How the multiple was built

💎 IAP / freemium model base	28× MRR
⭐ ★ rating 3.5-4.0 (mixed)	-8%
🏷 Strategy category multiple	-5%

Final multiple 24× MRR

👥 Estimated audience size

5.4M

Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)

Monthly active

970K

Daily active

335K

Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.

How we sized it

📲 Strategy engagement	~130 installs / rating
🔁 Strategy D30 retention	18%
📍 DAU / MAU stickiness	0.35

DAU / MAU 35% sticky

🛠 Estimated tech stack

🤖

Native Android (Kotlin)

Medium confidence · 55%

Also possible

Flutter

Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.

Signals we read

🏷 Category context	Strategy
📦 Tiny game bundle	→ Native 2D engine

🔬

How we forecast this revenue

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE

Baseline

$5.0K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers

Growth rate

+4.0% MoM · MID tier baseline (compound monthly)

6 months

$4.7K – $7.9K

12 months

$5.2K – $10.8K

24 months

$6.4K – $19.2K

Compound growth at +4.0% MoM (tier baseline for MID). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±25% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.

📊

BU Investment Matrix

Below median · 52/100MID TIERunderperforming peers

Growth Velocity

5.0

Founder Strength

3.2

Product Quality

7.5

Revenue Strength

3.7

Monetization Maturity

4.0

Defensibility

7.8

Market Position

0.0

Operational Safety

10.0

💰 Revenue: Modest — $3K - $7K/mo · MID tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
⭐ Quality: 3.77★ across 41,793 reviews — strong (top 10%).
📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
📈 Growth: Insufficient signal to assess trajectory.
⚠️ Risk: Low — no material risk signals detected.

🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.

💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $90K-$160K.

Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.

Range:

💰 Forecast Revenue / mo

MODEL

Revenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.

🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 4 of 4 triggers

Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:

Mid install base (41,793 ratings)METRIC		+$5,500
slowREVIEW		−$1,200
Established app (7y old)METRIC		+$800
Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC		+$600

METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)

📥 Estimated Downloads / week

PROXY · ratings × 50/wk —

Industry-rule estimate (Sensor Tower / data.ai): one weekly install ≈ 50 new ratings. Solid points = tracked snapshots · faded line = pre-tracking model backfill.

📈 Reviews Growth

LIVE

Cumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.

⭐ Rating Trend

LIVE

Average rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.

🗓️ Snapshot Timeline

HISTORY

Each bar shows a tracked update and the metric delta from the previous snapshot.

Profile & Insights

Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.

Identification

App name: The Bonfire: Forsaken Lands
Developer: Xigma Games
Bundle ID: com.xigmagames.thebonfireFL
App Store URL: Open in App Store
Category: Strategy
Content rating: Not found
Languages: Not found

Company

Website: www.facebook.com
Tagline: Not found
Description: Not found
Founded: Not found
HQ / Address: Not found
Employees: Not found
Logo: Not found

Revenue

Reported revenue signal / mo: Not found
AI revenue estimate / mo: Not found
AI annual estimate: Not found
Model estimate / mo: $5.0K/mo
Top-grossing rank: Not found
All-time revenue: Not found
Pricing: $3.99 per item

Founder

Founder data not yet collected for this app.

Funding

Funding data not yet collected for this app.

Press & Links

Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.

Contacts & Socials

Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.

🚀Update Frequency · Releases per Quarter2 releases tracked

🚀Version Release Timeline2 releases tracked

Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.

📝 About this app

🏆 Google Play Best of 2019 winner for Best Indie 2019

🏆 Top 25 Best Strategy Games (Pocket Gamer)

🏆 FICCI BAF AWARDS 2019 Best Mobile & Tablet Game (India)

🏆 FICCI BAF AWARDS 2019 Best Mobile & Tablet Game (International)

🏆 Indie Game of the Year IGDC 2018

🏆 Nominee, Casual Connect Asia 2017, Singapore

The Bonfire: Forsaken Lands is an idle survival city building simulation game where players build, discover, craft and survive.

<b>Note:

Download and play up to in-game Day 6 for free.… View full description on the official store →

App Specs

🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →

🔖 v2.8.5🔄 updated 0d ago📂 Strategy💰 Free💎 IAP $3.99 per item

📅

What Worked™ · Development Pipeline

3 EVENTS TRACKED

Detected changes in this app over its tracked lifetime — each event links cause (what changed) to effect (what moved). Sorted newest first.See full history →Version history →

2026-08

🔧

Shipped update — v2.8.4 → v2.8.5

→ 30 days after: reviews +26 high confidence

2026-06

📸

Refreshed store screenshots — 8 of 8 updated

→ 30 days after: reviews +7 high confidence

2026-05

🚀

First tracked snapshot — initial data captured

→ 30 days after: reviews +7 high confidence

📸

Store Page History

8 SCREENSHOT CHANGES

Every time a developer swaps a store screenshot we archive both versions. Compare side-by-side to see what messaging / visuals changed.

iPhone screenshots

Slot 1
2 ver.

2026-05-10

Now

2026-06-13

Slot 2
2 ver.

2026-05-10

Now

2026-06-13

Slot 3
2 ver.

2026-05-10

Now

2026-06-13

Slot 4
2 ver.

2026-05-10

Now

2026-06-13

Slot 5
2 ver.

2026-05-10

Now

2026-06-13

Slot 6
2 ver.

2026-05-10

Now

2026-06-13

🔔

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📝 Description

BU Score · Transcendent

Full revenue analysis

Read the article-style breakdown for The Bonfire: Forsaken Lands: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.

Read deep-dive →