Dots & Boxes (no ads)
50
Quality Score
Solid
Dots & Boxes (no ads)
by Stefan Oltmann
Medium confidence
✍️ Bumetric analysis
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Dots & Boxes (no ads) is an Android app from Stefan Oltmann in the Puzzle category, currently rated 4.0★ across 102 ratings. Initial signal reads as largely positive sentiment, users highlighting consistency and feature depth.
Quality Score is 50: Solid (established niche player). For a Puzzle app, that means established niche player. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.
💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$500
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$437 – $1575
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$405 – $3644
per month
INDIE tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
1 snapshots on record
Rating
4.0
Reviews
102 reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
$500
Snapshots tracked
1
since May 2026
ONE-TIME · BUILD
💰 Estimated build cost
$125K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $95K – $170K
$25K · MVP floor
$100K · indie scale
$500K+ · studio build
📈
Slow ROI — current MRR is well below build cost
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| ⚙ Puzzle complexity ×1.60 | +$30K |
| 🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) | +$44K |
Total estimate
$125K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE
💵 Estimated acquisition value
$5K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $5K – $10K · 12× MRR multiple
💸
~0.0× build cost (under-water)
Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from ad-supported + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.
How the multiple was built
| 📺 Ad-supported base | 15× MRR |
| 🏷 Puzzle category multiple | -12% |
| ⭐ Small user base (<1K ratings) | -8% |
Final multiple
12× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
16K
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
1.6K
Daily active
510
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲 Puzzle engagement | ~160 installs / rating |
| 🔁 Puzzle D30 retention | 10% |
| 📍 DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.32 |
DAU / MAU
32% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter
Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.
Signals we read
| 🏷 Category context | Puzzle |
| 📦 Tiny game bundle | → Native 2D engine |
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
LOW CONFIDENCEBaseline
$500/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+6.0% MoM · INDIE tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$426 – $993
12 months
$437 – $1.6K
24 months
$405 – $3.6K
Compound growth at +6.0% MoM (tier baseline for INDIE). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±40% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Pre-traction · 36/100INDIE TIERlimited signalRevenue Strength
2.7
Product Quality
5.6
Market Position
0.0
Growth Velocity
5.0
Defensibility
4.5
Operational Safety
7.0
Founder Strength
3.2
Monetization Maturity
1.0
- 💰 Revenue: Marginal — $200 - $1250/mo · INDIE tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 4.0★ across 102 reviews — below category median.
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: ⚠ last update 1121d ago — possibly dormant.
- ⚠️ Risk: Moderate — dormant (1121d since update).
🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $9K-$16K.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 5 of 5 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| 5 starREVIEW | +$1,800 | |
| Mature app (15y old)METRIC | +$1,500 | |
| Good rating (4.0★)METRIC | +$800 | |
| Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC | +$600 | |
| Early-stage install base (102 ratings)METRIC | +$400 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- Dots & Boxes (no ads)
- Developer
- Stefan Oltmann
- Bundle ID
- de.stefan_oltmann.kaesekaestchen
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Puzzle
- Content rating
- Not found
- Languages
- Not found
Company
- Website
- github.com
- Tagline
- Not found
- Description
- Not found
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Not found
Revenue
- Reported revenue signal / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- Model estimate / mo
- $500/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Not found
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- Not found
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
📝 About this app
This app is open source: https://github.com/StefanOltmann/Kaesekaestchen
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →🔖 v0.7.7🔄 updated 0d ago📂 Puzzle💰 Free
🧪
Tech & Domain Intel — github.com
- Mail provider
- Microsoft 365
- Tech stack
- Microsoft 365 · Apple Pay / Sign in with Apple · Atlassian (Jira/Confluence) · Meta (Facebook) Ads · Google Workspace · Loom · Shopify · Stripe
Derived from public RDAP + DNS TXT records (no scraping, no login).
🔔
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📝 Description
95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Dots & Boxes (no ads): category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
About this analysis
Why medium confidence: 102 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
8 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does Dots & Boxes (no ads) make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Dots & Boxes (no ads) earns approximately $500/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
Is Dots & Boxes (no ads) profitable?▴
With estimated build cost $125K and monthly revenue $500, Dots & Boxes (no ads) looks well below break-even — current monthly revenue is much smaller than the estimated build cost. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.
How many users does Dots & Boxes (no ads) have?▴
Estimated audience: ~16K lifetime downloads, ~1K monthly active users, and ~510 daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.
What apps are like Dots & Boxes (no ads)?▴
Browse the full Puzzle category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
What is Dots & Boxes (no ads) built with?▴
Our heuristic places Dots & Boxes (no ads) on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.
How much would Dots & Boxes (no ads) sell for?▴
Estimated acquisition value: $5.0K (marketplace range $5.0K – $10K). Calculated as 12× monthly revenue using the standard multiple for the detected monetization model + adjustments for age, rating quality and category demand. Calibrated against 2024-2026 Flippa / Acquire.com / MicroAcquire closed-deal medians.
Who makes Dots & Boxes (no ads)?▴
Dots & Boxes (no ads) is published by Stefan Oltmann on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Dots & Boxes (no ads)'s BU Score?▴
Dots & Boxes (no ads) has a BU Score of 50/100 (Solid). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.