Smash Tennis
35
Quality Score
Emerging
✍️ Bumetric analysis
“
Smash Tennis is an Android app from marge in the Casual category, currently rated 1.7★ across 5,064 ratings. Initial signal reads as mixed reviews: supporters praise core features while critics cite stability and value gaps.
Quality Score is 35: Emerging (early traction worth watching). For a Casual app, that means early traction worth watching. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.
💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$5.0K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$5.2K – $10.8K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$6.4K – $19.2K
per month
MID tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
1 snapshots on record
Rating
1.7
Reviews
5,064 reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
$5.0K
Snapshots tracked
1
since Aug 2026
ONE-TIME · BUILD
💰 Estimated build cost
$115K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $85K – $155K
$25K · MVP floor
$100K · indie scale
$500K+ · studio build
📈
Pays back in ~1.9y at current MRR
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| ⚙ Casual complexity ×1.50 | +$25K |
| 🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) | +$41K |
Total estimate
$115K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE
💵 Estimated acquisition value
$50K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $35K – $50K · 10× MRR multiple
💸
~0.4× build cost (under-water)
Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from ad-supported + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.
How the multiple was built
| 📺 Ad-supported base | 15× MRR |
| ⭐ ★ rating < 3.5 (weak) | -18% |
| 🏷 Casual category multiple | -22% |
Final multiple
10× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
1.1M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
66K
Daily active
23K
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲 Casual engagement | ~220 installs / rating |
| 🔁 Casual D30 retention | 6% |
| 📍 DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.35 |
DAU / MAU
35% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter
Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.
Signals we read
| 🏷 Category context | Casual |
| 📦 Tiny game bundle | → Native 2D engine |
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
MEDIUM CONFIDENCEBaseline
$5.0K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+4.0% MoM · MID tier baseline (compound monthly)
Direction
Headwinds: rating drift may slow acquisition
6 months
$4.7K – $7.9K
12 months
$5.2K – $10.8K
24 months
$6.4K – $19.2K
Compound growth at +4.0% MoM (tier baseline for MID). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±25% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Stalled · 39/100MID TIERno growth momentumGrowth Velocity
5.0
Founder Strength
6.3
Product Quality
3.0
Revenue Strength
3.7
Monetization Maturity
1.0
Defensibility
7.5
Market Position
0.0
Operational Safety
5.0
- 💰 Revenue: Modest — $3K - $7K/mo · MID tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 1.67★ across 5,064 reviews — weak — significant quality concerns.
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: ⚠ last update 2965d ago — possibly dormant.
- ⚠️ Risk: Elevated — dormant (2965d since update).
🎯 For competitors: Vulnerable. Quality drift + slow updates create a clear opening for a fresh competitor with active dev cadence.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $90K-$160K.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 4 of 4 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| Low install base (5,064 ratings)METRIC | +$1,500 | |
| Below-average rating (1.7★)METRIC | −$1,500 | |
| Mature app (12y old)METRIC | +$1,500 | |
| Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC | +$600 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- Smash Tennis
- Developer
- marge
- Bundle ID
- jp.marge.android.smashtennis
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Casual
- Content rating
- Not found
- Languages
- Not found
Company
- Website
- www.maru.jp
- Tagline
- Not found
- Description
- Not found
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Not found
Revenue
- Reported revenue signal / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- Model estimate / mo
- $5.0K/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Not found
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- Not found
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
📝 About this app
Today, I will practice tennis!
Tennis tournament will be held next week at my high school.
I practice tennis with Takeo who is good tennis player, so I want to show a fine play to Risa - she is madonna and my classmate -, in secret.
[How to Play]
- Return smash by tapping the screen in a timely manner.
- Game will over with mistake 5 times.
- You heal when the ball hit back glowing green.
Takeo is best tennis player.
Return smash by seeing through the magic ball from the Takeo's racket!
Be noted in the tennis tournament next week, it's you!
Tennis tournament will be held next week at my high school.
I practice tennis with Takeo who is good tennis player, so I want to show a fine play to Risa - she is madonna and my classmate -, in secret.
[How to Play]
- Return smash by tapping the screen in a timely manner.
- Game will over with mistake 5 times.
- You heal when the ball hit back glowing green.
Takeo is best tennis player.
Return smash by seeing through the magic ball from the Takeo's racket!
Be noted in the tennis tournament next week, it's you!
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →🔖 v1.5🔄 updated 0d ago📂 Casual💰 Free📺 Ad-supported
🔔
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📝 Description
95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Smash Tennis: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
More by marge
View all →📦 Portfolio summaryMID studio
76apps·$213K/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 2%; risk spread across portfolio
About this analysis
Why medium confidence: 5,064 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
8 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does Smash Tennis make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Smash Tennis earns approximately $5.0K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
Is Smash Tennis profitable?▴
With estimated build cost $115K and monthly revenue $5.0K, Smash Tennis looks break-even-grade — payback period sits around 1.9 years. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.
How many users does Smash Tennis have?▴
Estimated audience: ~1.1M lifetime downloads, ~66K monthly active users, and ~23K daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.
What apps are like Smash Tennis?▴
Browse the full Casual category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
What is Smash Tennis built with?▴
Our heuristic places Smash Tennis on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.
How much would Smash Tennis sell for?▴
Estimated acquisition value: $50K (marketplace range $35K – $50K). Calculated as 10× monthly revenue using the standard multiple for the detected monetization model + adjustments for age, rating quality and category demand. Calibrated against 2024-2026 Flippa / Acquire.com / MicroAcquire closed-deal medians.
Who makes Smash Tennis?▴
Smash Tennis is published by marge on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Smash Tennis's BU Score?▴
Smash Tennis has a BU Score of 35/100 (Emerging). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.