Garden Diary
48
Quality Score
Emerging
Garden Diary
Medium confidence
✍️ bumetric analysis
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Garden Diary is an Android app from windbell in the Role Playing category, currently rated 3.7★ across 188 ratings. Initial signal reads as mostly critical sentiment so far: users flag rough edges and unmet expectations.
Quality Score is 48: Emerging (early traction worth watching). For a Role Playing app, that means early traction worth watching. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.
💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$5.0K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$5.2K – $10.8K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$6.4K – $19.2K
per month
MID tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
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Rating
—
Reviews
—
Forecast Revenue / mo
—
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD💰 Estimated build cost
$210K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $160K – $285K
$25K · MVP floor$100K · indie scale$500K+ · studio build
📈Slow ROI — current MRR is well below build cost
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| 💎In-app purchase plumbing | +$9K |
| ⚙Role Playing complexity ×2.30 | +$77K |
| 🌐Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) | +$75K |
Total estimate$210K
👥 Estimated audience size
24K
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
4.3K
Daily active
1.7K
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲Role Playing engagement | ~130 installs / rating |
| 🔁Role Playing D30 retention | 18% |
| 📍DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.40 |
DAU / MAU40% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter
Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.
Signals we read
| 🏷Category context | Role Playing |
| 📦Tiny game bundle | → Native 2D engine |
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
MEDIUM CONFIDENCEBaseline
$5.0K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+4.0% MoM · MID tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$4.7K – $7.9K
12 months
$5.2K – $10.8K
24 months
$6.4K – $19.2K
Compound growth at +4.0% MoM (tier baseline for MID). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±25% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Below median · 52/100MID TIERunderperforming peersRevenue Strength
3.7
Product Quality
5.2
Market Position
0.0
Growth Velocity
5.0
Defensibility
10.0
Operational Safety
7.0
Founder Strength
5.9
Monetization Maturity
5.0
- 💰 Revenue: Modest — $3K - $7K/mo · MID tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 3.71★ across 188 reviews — below category median.
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: ⚠ last update 2513d ago — possibly dormant.
- ⚠️ Risk: Moderate — dormant (2513d since update).
🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $90K-$160K.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 3 of 3 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| Mature app (13y old)METRIC | +$1,500 | |
| Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC | +$600 | |
| Early-stage install base (188 ratings)METRIC | +$400 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →🔖 v1.4.5🔄 updated 0d ago📂 Role Playing💰 Free📺 Ad-supported💎 IAP $1.01 - $3.06 per item
📝 About this app
★[AD] New game : "MINE ROAD" released now! (2013.12.18)
★Q&A update (2013.08.14)
★Please do not update this application during a dungeon search. In addition, please turn off the automatic update of Google Play.
★For Android 4.X: If you have turned on "Don't keep activities" in developer options, please deactivate it
★When you want to pause the game, please push the BACK button to go the home screen. Your game might lose its current state if you use the home button instead.
■ Outline
Garden Diary is a semi-automatic - miniature garden nurturing - dungeon RPG.… View full description on the official store →
★Q&A update (2013.08.14)
★Please do not update this application during a dungeon search. In addition, please turn off the automatic update of Google Play.
★For Android 4.X: If you have turned on "Don't keep activities" in developer options, please deactivate it
★When you want to pause the game, please push the BACK button to go the home screen. Your game might lose its current state if you use the home button instead.
■ Outline
Garden Diary is a semi-automatic - miniature garden nurturing - dungeon RPG.… View full description on the official store →
🔔
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Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- Garden Diary
- Developer
- windbell
- Bundle ID
- jp.windbellrrr.app.gardendiary
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Role Playing
- Content rating
- Not found
- Languages
- Not found
Company
- Website
- d.hatena.ne.jp
- Tagline
- Not found
- Description
- Not found
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Not found
Revenue
- Verified revenue / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- ML model estimate / mo
- $283/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Not found
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- $1.01 - $3.06 per item
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth188 ratings+18% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾
Tracked (1 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (36 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
📝 Description
95
BU Score · Transcendent
More by windbell
View all →📦 Portfolio summaryINDIE studio
9apps·$2K/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 21%; risk spread across portfolio
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Garden Diary: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
About this analysis
Why medium confidence: 188 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
7 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does Garden Diary make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Garden Diary earns approximately $282/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
Is Garden Diary profitable?▴
With estimated build cost $210K and monthly revenue $282, Garden Diary looks well below break-even — current monthly revenue is much smaller than the estimated build cost. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.
How many users does Garden Diary have?▴
Estimated audience: ~24K lifetime downloads, ~4K monthly active users, and ~1K daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.
What apps are like Garden Diary?▴
Browse the full Role Playing category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
What is Garden Diary built with?▴
Our heuristic places Garden Diary on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.
Who makes Garden Diary?▴
Garden Diary is published by windbell on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Garden Diary's BU Score?▴
Garden Diary has a BU Score of 48/100 (Emerging). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.