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The Lost Ship

77
Quality Score
Strong

The Lost Ship

High confidence
4.6 Google Play rating
✍️ Bumetric analysis
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The Lost Ship is an Android app from Syntaxity in the Adventure category, currently rated 4.6★ across 18,646 ratings. Initial signal reads as largely positive sentiment, users highlighting consistency and feature depth.

Quality Score is 77: Strong (healthy traction). For a Adventure app, that means healthy traction. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.

Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.

💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$700K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$741K – $1141K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$886K – $1645K
per month
BIG tier
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📊 Performance Tracking LIVE

1 snapshots on record
idle
0%
Rating
4.6
Reviews
18,646 reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
$700K
Snapshots tracked
1
since Aug 2026
ONE-TIME · BUILD 💰 Estimated build cost
$270K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $200K – $365K
$25K · MVP floor $100K · indie scale $500K+ · studio build
📈 Pays back in under a month at current MRR

Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.

Where the money goes
🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) +$28K
📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K +$22K
💎 In-app purchase plumbing +$9K
⚙ Adventure complexity ×2.10 +$65K
🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) +$68K
⚙ 12.4y maintenance × ~1-person team +$74K
Total estimate $270K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE 💵 Estimated acquisition value
$21.5M
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $16.0M – $28.0M · 31× MRR multiple
💸 ~80× return on build cost

Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from iap / freemium model + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.

How the multiple was built
💎 IAP / freemium model base 28× MRR
📅 12.4y proven track record +20%
⭐ ★ rating ≥ 4.4 (solid) +8%
🏷 Adventure category multiple -15%
Final multiple 31× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
1.8M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
81K
Daily active
24K

Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.

How we sized it
📲 Adventure engagement ~140 installs / rating
📅 12.4y of rating accumulation -30%
🔁 Adventure D30 retention 12%
📍 DAU / MAU stickiness 0.30
DAU / MAU 30% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter

Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.

Signals we read
🏷 Category context Adventure
📦 Tiny game bundle → Native 2D engine
💀 Maintenance status
At risk
50%
Last shipped 2025-12-30 · 273 days ago
0 · Active 50 · At risk 100 · Abandoned

Heuristic risk score from time-since-last-update + ratings velocity proxy + Editor's Choice / curated featuring signals. Calibrated against 2024-2025 app-store ranking decay reports. Not a guarantee — a quiet app with a healthy codebase looks the same as an abandoned one until something breaks. Full math on /methodology.

Risk signals
📅 9 months since last update Concerning gap
Verdict At risk
🔬

How we forecast this revenue

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Baseline
$700K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+2.5% MoM · BIG tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$690K – $933K
12 months
$741K – $1.1M
24 months
$886K – $1.6M
Compound growth at +2.5% MoM (tier baseline for BIG). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±15% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊

BU Investment Matrix

Mixed signals · 61/100BIG TIERcompetitive but cautious
RevenueQualityMarketGrowthMoatSafetyFounderMonetiz.
Revenue Strength
5.8
Product Quality
9.2
Market Position
0.0
Growth Velocity
5.0
Defensibility
10.0
Operational Safety
9.0
Founder Strength
5.9
Monetization Maturity
4.0
  • 💰 Revenue: Healthy — $280K - $1540K/mo · BIG tier · medium-low confidence, trajectory unclear.
  • ⭐ Quality: 4.58★ across 18,646 reviews — exceptional (top 1% in category).
  • 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
  • 📈 Growth: last update 273d ago — slow cadence.
  • ⚠️ Risk: Low — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Strong subscription moat. Hard to outcompete on retention. Better angle: free alternative with one-time purchase, or feature parity for an underserved sub-niche.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $12.6M-$22.4M.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:

💰 Forecast Revenue / mo

MODEL
Revenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 4 of 4 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
Mid install base (18,646 ratings)METRIC
+$5,500
Paid app ($2.99)METRIC
+$2,800
Excellent rating (4.6★)METRIC
+$2,200
Mature app (12y old)METRIC
+$1,500
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)

📈 Reviews Growth

LIVE
Cumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.

⭐ Rating Trend

LIVE
Average rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.

Profile & Insights

Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.

Identification

App name
The Lost Ship
Developer
Syntaxity
Bundle ID
net.lonewolfgames.games.thelostship
App Store URL
Open in App Store
Category
Adventure
Content rating
Not found
Languages
Not found

Company

Website
syntaxity.com
Tagline
Not found
Description
Not found
Founded
Not found
HQ / Address
Not found
Employees
Not found
Logo
Not found

Revenue

Reported revenue signal / mo
Not found
AI revenue estimate / mo
Not found
AI annual estimate
Not found
Model estimate / mo
$700K/mo
Top-grossing rank
Not found
All-time revenue
Not found
Pricing
$0.99 - $1.99 per item

Founder

Founder data not yet collected for this app.

Funding

Funding data not yet collected for this app.

Press & Links

Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.

Contacts & Socials

Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.

📝 About this app

Embark on your own treasure hunt in this beautifully designed classic point and click adventure game. Explore old trails, puzzles, and structures left behind by a castaway crew as you hunt for their lost pirate ship that was blown on to an island centuries ago.

Uncle Henry has been hunting lost treasures for as long as you can remember. His stories of adventure excited your imagination as you were a child growing up. Now with your newly acquired archeology skills, he has been reaching out from time to time for your help in tracking down some of these difficult to find treasures.… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →
🔖 v5.3🔄 updated 9mo ago📂 Adventure💰 Free💎 IAP $0.99 - $1.99 per item🚀 Launched 2014 (12y old)
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📝 Description

95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for The Lost Ship: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
Read deep-dive →

More by Syntaxity

View all →
📦 Portfolio summaryBIG studio
12apps·$2.9M/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 24%; risk spread across portfolio

Similar apps in Adventure

About this analysis
ZCAnalyzed by Zakhar Chumak · founder, Bumetric·Full methodology·High confidence

Why high confidence: 18,646 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

10 answers · auto-generated from this app's public data
How much does The Lost Ship make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, The Lost Ship earns approximately $700K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
Is The Lost Ship profitable?▴
With estimated build cost $270K and monthly revenue $700K, The Lost Ship looks highly profitable — pays back its build investment in under a month at the current run-rate. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.
How many users does The Lost Ship have?▴
Estimated audience: ~1.8M lifetime downloads, ~81K monthly active users, and ~24K daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.
What apps are like The Lost Ship?▴
Browse the full Adventure category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
What is The Lost Ship built with?▴
Our heuristic places The Lost Ship on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.
Is The Lost Ship still actively maintained?▴
Maintenance status: At risk (50% abandonment risk). Last shipped version was 9 months ago. The risk score combines time-since-last-update with Editor's Choice / curated featuring + user-base maturity adjustments.
How much would The Lost Ship sell for?▴
Estimated acquisition value: $21.5M (marketplace range $16.0M – $28.0M). Calculated as 31× monthly revenue using the standard multiple for the detected monetization model + adjustments for age, rating quality and category demand. Calibrated against 2024-2026 Flippa / Acquire.com / MicroAcquire closed-deal medians.
When was The Lost Ship last updated?▴
The Lost Ship last shipped a new version on 2025-12-30 — 9 months ago. This is the date Apple / Google last accepted a new build, not a content-only push.
Who makes The Lost Ship?▴
The Lost Ship is published by Syntaxity on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is The Lost Ship's BU Score?▴
The Lost Ship has a BU Score of 77/100 (Strong). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.