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Polymarket

69
Quality Score
Solid

Polymarket

High confidence
4.7 ✍️ Editor
✍️ bumetric analysis

Polymarket is an iOS app from Polymarket, currently rated 4.7★ across 30,963 ratings. Initial signal reads as no scraped reviews yet: judgment based on metadata only.

Quality Score is 69: Solid (established niche player). For an app like this, that means established niche player. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.

Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.

💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$500
per month
12-mo forecast
$437 – $1575
per month
24-mo forecast
$405 – $3644
per month
INDIE tier
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📊 Performance Tracking LIVE

Loading…
idle
0%
Rating
Reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD 💰 Estimated build cost
$90K
What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $70K – $120K
$25K · MVP floor $100K · indie scale $500K+ · studio build

Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.

Where the money goes
🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) +$28K
📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K +$22K
📦 Asset bundle (253 MB) +$40K
Total estimate $90K
👥 Estimated audience size
4.6M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
690K
Daily active
135K

Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.

How we sized it
📲 category engagement ~150 installs / rating
🔁 category D30 retention 15%
📍 DAU / MAU stickiness 0.20
DAU / MAU 20% sticky
🔬

How we forecast this revenue

LOW CONFIDENCE
Baseline
$500/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+6.0% MoM · INDIE tier baseline (compound monthly)
Direction
Headwinds: low defensibility moat
6 months
$426 – $993
12 months
$437 – $1.6K
24 months
$405 – $3.6K
Compound growth at +6.0% MoM (tier baseline for INDIE). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±40% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊

BU Investment Matrix

Early-stage solo · 42/100INDIE TIERexpected for tier
GrowthFounderQualityRevenueMonetiz.MoatMarketSafety
Growth Velocity
5.0
Founder Strength
3.0
Product Quality
9.3
Revenue Strength
2.7
Monetization Maturity
1.0
Defensibility
2.4
Market Position
0.3
Operational Safety
10.0
  • 💰 Revenue: Marginal — $200 - $1250/mo · INDIE tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
  • ⭐ Quality: 4.65★ across 30,963 reviews — exceptional (top 1% in category).
  • 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
  • 📈 Growth: dev shipping weekly.
  • ⚠️ Risk: Low — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $9K-$16K.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:

💰 Forecast Revenue / mo

MODEL
Revenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 5 of 5 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
Mid install base (30,963 ratings)METRIC
+$5,500
Excellent rating (4.7★)METRIC
+$2,200
Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC
+$600
Single-language (English only)METRIC
−$400
Growing app (1y old)METRIC
+$200
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)

📈 Reviews Growth

LIVE
Cumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.

⭐ Rating Trend

LIVE
Average rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.

🆕 What's New · v2.6.1

The World's Largest Prediction Market™ is now CFTC regulated & legal in the United States.

Profile & Insights

Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.

Identification

App name
Polymarket
Developer
Polymarket
Bundle ID
com.polymarket.ios-app
App Store URL
Open in App Store
Category
Not found
Content rating
17+
Languages
EN

Company

Website
Not found
Tagline
Today
Description
Find apps and games for iPhone, iPad, Mac, and more on the App Store.
Founded
Not found
HQ / Address
Not found
Employees
Not found
Logo
Available

Revenue

Verified revenue / mo
Not found
AI revenue estimate / mo
Not found
AI annual estimate
Not found
ML model estimate / mo
Not found
Top-grossing rank
Outside top 100 in US
All-time revenue
Not found
Pricing
Not found

Founder

Founder data not yet collected for this app.

Funding

Funding data not yet collected for this app.

Press & Links

Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.

Contacts & Socials

Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth31,243 ratings+721% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾Oct 2024Sep 2025Jun 2026
Tracked (2 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (21 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
🌍Geographic ReachNot ranked
This app is currently outside the top 100 grossing in all 9 countries we monitor (US, UK, DE, FR, JP, CA, AU, BR, IN). Niche or new apps often launch this way — popularity rankings appear once daily revenue clears the regional threshold.
🚀Version Release Timeline2 releases tracked
v2.5.9Jun 2026v2.6.1Jun 2026
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.

📝 About this app

With over 30 million users globally, Americans can now trade on the World's Largest Prediction Market™

On Polymarket, you can buy in and trade out without ever getting locked out.

Polymarket always has the tightest spreads, the lowest fees, & the biggest opportunities.

LIVETRADE™ IN GAME
- Instantaneously trade in and out
- Bigger payouts than sportsbooks
- No "house" & no limits
- Instant cashouts

TRADE ON ANYTHING
- Trade on sports, geopolitics, election, news, tech, culture, & more
- Put your money where your mouth is, and earn a return for your knowledge

HOW DOES IT WORK?… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →
💾 253 MB🔞 17+📱 iOS 18.0+🔖 v2.6.1🔄 updated 0d ago🌐 EN💰 Free
🔔

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📝 Description

95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Polymarket: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
Read deep-dive →
About this analysis
ZCAnalyzed by Zakhar Chumak · founder, bumetric·Full methodology·High confidence

Why high confidence: 30,963 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).

Frequently Asked Questions

2 answers · auto-generated from this app's public data
Who makes Polymarket?
Polymarket is published by Polymarket on the Apple App Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Polymarket's BU Score?
Polymarket has a BU Score of 69/100 (Solid). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.