Idle Defense: Dark Forest
68
Quality Score
Solid
✍️ bumetric analysis
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Idle Defense: Dark Forest is an Android app from Loongcheer Game in the Adventure category, currently rated 4.1★ across 28,662 ratings. Initial signal reads as largely positive sentiment, users highlighting consistency and feature depth.
Quality Score is 68: Solid (established niche player). For a Adventure app, that means established niche player. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.
💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$700K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$741K – $1141K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$886K – $1645K
per month
BIG tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
Loading…
Rating
—
Reviews
—
Forecast Revenue / mo
—
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD
💰 Estimated build cost
$195K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $145K – $265K
$25K · MVP floor
$100K · indie scale
$500K+ · studio build
📈
Slow ROI — current MRR is well below build cost
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| 💎 In-app purchase plumbing | +$9K |
| ⚙ Adventure complexity ×2.10 | +$65K |
| 🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) | +$68K |
Total estimate
$195K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE
💵 Estimated acquisition value
$35K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $25K – $45K · 24× MRR multiple
💸
~0.2× build cost (under-water)
Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from iap / freemium model + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.
How the multiple was built
| 💎 IAP / freemium model base | 28× MRR |
| 🏷 Adventure category multiple | -15% |
Final multiple
24× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
4.0M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
480K
Daily active
140K
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲 Adventure engagement | ~140 installs / rating |
| 🔁 Adventure D30 retention | 12% |
| 📍 DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.30 |
DAU / MAU
29% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter
Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.
Signals we read
| 🏷 Category context | Adventure |
| 📦 Tiny game bundle | → Native 2D engine |
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
MEDIUM CONFIDENCEBaseline
$700K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+2.5% MoM · BIG tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$690K – $933K
12 months
$741K – $1.1M
24 months
$886K – $1.6M
Compound growth at +2.5% MoM (tier baseline for BIG). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±15% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Mixed signals · 57/100BIG TIERcompetitive but cautiousRevenue Strength
5.8
Product Quality
8.2
Market Position
0.0
Growth Velocity
5.0
Defensibility
9.2
Operational Safety
7.0
Founder Strength
5.3
Monetization Maturity
5.0
- 💰 Revenue: Healthy — $280K - $1540K/mo · BIG tier · medium-low confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 4.08★ across 28,662 reviews — strong (top 10%).
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: ⚠ last update 960d ago — possibly dormant.
- ⚠️ Risk: Moderate — dormant (960d since update).
🎯 For competitors: Strong subscription moat. Hard to outcompete on retention. Better angle: free alternative with one-time purchase, or feature parity for an underserved sub-niche.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $12.6M-$22.4M.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 6 of 6 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| Mid install base (28,662 ratings)METRIC | +$5,500 | |
| bugsREVIEW | −$1,800 | |
| 5 starREVIEW | +$1,800 | |
| Good rating (4.1★)METRIC | +$800 | |
| Established app (6y old)METRIC | +$800 | |
| Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC | +$600 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- Idle Defense: Dark Forest
- Developer
- Loongcheer Game
- Bundle ID
- com.lemonjamgames.idledefense
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Adventure
- Content rating
- Not found
- Languages
- Not found
Company
- Website
- www.loongcheer.com
- Tagline
- Not found
- Description
- Not found
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Not found
Revenue
- Verified revenue / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- ML model estimate / mo
- $115/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Not found
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- $0.99 - $69.99 per item
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth28,662 ratings+69% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾
Tracked (3 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (36 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
📝 About this app
<font color="blue"><b> Story of the Game </b></font>
Because of a major mistake, the intern wizard burned down half of the wizard school. Nobody can forgive this huge error. He was banished from school and returned home.
Misfortunes never come single. The amethyst of ancestral seal was smashed into pieces, and the monsters come swarming from seal stone. The whole world descended into chaos.
His father left him alone with only one copy named “Turret Engineering. “Aren’t the papers for my tears? “, he thought.
Although he burned the school by accident, he is so confident of his spell.… View full description on the official store →
Because of a major mistake, the intern wizard burned down half of the wizard school. Nobody can forgive this huge error. He was banished from school and returned home.
Misfortunes never come single. The amethyst of ancestral seal was smashed into pieces, and the monsters come swarming from seal stone. The whole world descended into chaos.
His father left him alone with only one copy named “Turret Engineering. “Aren’t the papers for my tears? “, he thought.
Although he burned the school by accident, he is so confident of his spell.… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →🔖 v1.4.0🔄 updated 0d ago📂 Adventure💰 Free📺 Ad-supported💎 IAP $0.99 - $69.99 per item
🔔
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📝 Description
95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Idle Defense: Dark Forest: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
More by Loongcheer Game
View all →📦 Portfolio summaryINDIE studio
8apps·$660/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 26%; risk spread across portfolio
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About this analysis
Why high confidence: 28,662 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
4 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does Idle Defense make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Idle Defense earns approximately $1.5K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
What apps are like Idle Defense?▴
Browse the full Adventure category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
Who makes Idle Defense?▴
Idle Defense is published by Loongcheer Game on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Idle Defense's BU Score?▴
Idle Defense has a BU Score of 68/100 (Solid). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.