Shadow Fight 3 - RPG fighting
84
Quality Score
Excellent
✍️ bumetric analysis
“
This NEKKI title targets the competitive mobile RPG fighting game niche, directly competing with established franchises like Mortal Kombat Mobile and Injustice 2. Its strong user reception, evidenced by millions of ratings and a high average score, signals robust traction and indicates a mature, high-growth stage. This isn't a new entrant; it's a proven performer with a dedicated user base. For free-to-play RPG fighters, a common monetization observation is the strong performance of character unlocks and cosmetic customization IAPs. While ads are present, the primary revenue driver in this category often shifts towards premium character packs, battle passes, and exclusive gear bundles that enhance progression or offer unique aesthetic options, catering to both competitive and casual players.
BU Score 84 · Excellent — strong product-market fit. The full Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track snapshot history and revenue forecast in the Performance section below.
💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$700K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$741K – $1141K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$886K – $1645K
per month
BIG tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
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Rating
—
Reviews
—
Forecast Revenue / mo
—
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD
💰 Estimated build cost
$210K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $160K – $285K
$25K · MVP floor
$100K · indie scale
$500K+ · studio build
📈
Pays back in ~2.4y at current MRR
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| 💎 In-app purchase plumbing | +$9K |
| ⚙ Role Playing complexity ×2.30 | +$77K |
| 🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) | +$75K |
Total estimate
$210K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE
💵 Estimated acquisition value
$225K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $175K – $275K · 30× MRR multiple
💸
~1.1× build cost (break-even+)
Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from iap / freemium model + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.
How the multiple was built
| 💎 IAP / freemium model base | 28× MRR |
| ⭐ ★ rating ≥ 4.4 (solid) | +8% |
| 🏷 Role Playing category multiple | -8% |
| ⭐ Mature user base (1M+ ratings) | +8% |
Final multiple
30× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
583.5M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
105.0M
Daily active
42.0M
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲 Role Playing engagement | ~130 installs / rating |
| 🔁 Role Playing D30 retention | 18% |
| 📍 DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.40 |
DAU / MAU
40% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter
Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.
Signals we read
| 🏷 Category context | Role Playing |
| 📦 Tiny game bundle | → Native 2D engine |
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
MEDIUM CONFIDENCEBaseline
$700K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+2.5% MoM · BIG tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$690K – $933K
12 months
$741K – $1.1M
24 months
$886K – $1.6M
Compound growth at +2.5% MoM (tier baseline for BIG). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±15% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Mixed signals · 63/100BIG TIERcompetitive but cautiousRevenue Strength
5.8
Product Quality
9.2
Market Position
0.0
Growth Velocity
5.0
Defensibility
9.7
Operational Safety
10.0
Founder Strength
5.6
Monetization Maturity
5.0
- 💰 Revenue: Healthy — $280K - $1540K/mo · BIG tier · medium-low confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 4.59★ across 4,491,113 reviews — exceptional (top 1% in category).
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: Insufficient signal to assess trajectory.
- ⚠️ Risk: Low — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Strong subscription moat. Hard to outcompete on retention. Better angle: free alternative with one-time purchase, or feature parity for an underserved sub-niche.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $12.6M-$22.4M.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 6 of 6 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| High install base (4,491,113 ratings)METRIC | +$12,000 | |
| Excellent rating (4.6★)METRIC | +$2,200 | |
| bugsREVIEW | −$1,800 | |
| Mature app (8y old)METRIC | +$1,500 | |
| annoying adsREVIEW | −$1,100 | |
| Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC | +$600 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- Shadow Fight 3 - RPG fighting
- Developer
- NEKKI
- Bundle ID
- com.nekki.shadowfight3
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Role Playing
- Content rating
- Not found
- Languages
- Not found
Company
- Website
- www.nekki.com
- Tagline
- Not found
- Description
- Not found
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Not found
Revenue
- Verified revenue / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- ML model estimate / mo
- $6/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Not found
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- $0.99 - $249.99 per item
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth4,491,113 ratings+26% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾
Tracked (3 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (36 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
🚀Update Frequency · Releases per Quarter3 releases tracked
🚀Version Release Timeline3 releases tracked
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
📝 About this app
Legend has it that a hero will come to end the fight for shadow energy. He will have to learn three fighting styles, collect the best weapons and challenge the strongest warriors.
The world is on the edge of an epic war. The mighty force unleashed by the Gates of Shadows many years ago has turned into a weapon, and now three war clans are fighting to decide the future of this force.
The Legion warriors want to destroy the dangerous energy. The people of the Dynasty want to use it for their own benefit.… View full description on the official store →
The world is on the edge of an epic war. The mighty force unleashed by the Gates of Shadows many years ago has turned into a weapon, and now three war clans are fighting to decide the future of this force.
The Legion warriors want to destroy the dangerous energy. The people of the Dynasty want to use it for their own benefit.… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →🔖 v1.45.3🔄 updated 0d ago📂 Role Playing💰 Free📺 Ad-supported💎 IAP $0.99 - $249.99 per item
📅
What Worked™ · Development Pipeline
4 EVENTS TRACKEDDetected changes in this app over its tracked lifetime — each event links cause (what changed) to effect (what moved). Sorted newest first.See full history →Version history →
2026-06
🔧
Shipped update — v1.45.1 → v1.45.3
→ 30 days after: reviews +7,421 medium · co-occurring
2026-06
📸
Refreshed store screenshots — 8 of 8 updated
→ 30 days after: reviews +7,421 medium · co-occurring
2026-06
🔧
Shipped update — v1.44.3 → v1.45.1
→ 30 days after: reviews +18,425 low · multiple changes
2026-05
🚀
First tracked snapshot — initial data captured
→ 30 days after: reviews +11,004 high confidence
📸
Store Page History
8 SCREENSHOT CHANGESEvery time a developer swaps a store screenshot we archive both versions. Compare side-by-side to see what messaging / visuals changed.
iPhone screenshots
Slot 1
2 ver.
2 ver.
2026-05-06
2026-06-12
Slot 2
2 ver.
2 ver.
2026-05-06
2026-06-12
Slot 3
2 ver.
2 ver.
2026-05-06
2026-06-12
Slot 4
2 ver.
2 ver.
2026-05-06
2026-06-12
Slot 5
2 ver.
2 ver.
2026-05-06
2026-06-12
Slot 6
2 ver.
2 ver.
2026-05-06
2026-06-12
🔔
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📝 Description
95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Shadow Fight 3 - RPG fighting: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
More by NEKKI
View all →📦 Portfolio summaryINDIE studio
6apps·$1K/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 25%; risk spread across portfolio
About this analysis
Why high confidence: 4,491,113 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
4 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does Shadow Fight 3 - RPG fighting make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Shadow Fight 3 - RPG fighting earns approximately $7.3K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
What apps are like Shadow Fight 3 - RPG fighting?▴
Browse the full Role Playing category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
Who makes Shadow Fight 3 - RPG fighting?▴
Shadow Fight 3 - RPG fighting is published by NEKKI on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Shadow Fight 3 - RPG fighting's BU Score?▴
Shadow Fight 3 - RPG fighting has a BU Score of 84/100 (Excellent). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.