78
Quality Score
Strong
Criminal Case: Pacific Bay
High confidence
✍️ bumetric analysis
“
Criminal Case: Pacific Bay is an Android app from Pretty Simple in the Adventure category, currently rated 4.7★ across 250,937 ratings. Initial signal reads as mixed reviews: supporters praise core features while critics cite stability and value gaps.
Quality Score is 78: Strong (healthy traction). For a Adventure app, that means healthy traction. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.
💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$5.0K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$5.2K – $10.8K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$6.4K – $19.2K
per month
MID tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
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Rating
—
Reviews
—
Forecast Revenue / mo
—
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD💰 Estimated build cost
$165K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $125K – $225K
$25K · MVP floor$100K · indie scale$500K+ · studio build
📈Pays back in ~4.4y at current MRR
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| ⚙Adventure complexity ×2.10 | +$55K |
| 🌐Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) | +$58K |
Total estimate$165K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE💵 Estimated acquisition value
$45K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $35K – $50K · 14× MRR multiple
💸~0.3× build cost (under-water)
Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from ad-supported + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.
How the multiple was built
| 📺Ad-supported base | 15× MRR |
| ⭐★ rating ≥ 4.4 (solid) | +8% |
| 🏷Adventure category multiple | -15% |
| ⭐Mature user base (100K+ ratings) | +5% |
Final multiple14× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
35.0M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
4.2M
Daily active
1.2M
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲Adventure engagement | ~140 installs / rating |
| 🔁Adventure D30 retention | 12% |
| 📍DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.30 |
DAU / MAU30% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter
Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.
Signals we read
| 🏷Category context | Adventure |
| 📦Tiny game bundle | → Native 2D engine |
💀 Maintenance status
At risk
50%
Last shipped 2025-08-29 · 268 days ago
0 · Active50 · At risk100 · Abandoned
Heuristic risk score from time-since-last-update + ratings velocity proxy + Editor's Choice / curated featuring signals. Calibrated against 2024-2025 app-store ranking decay reports. Not a guarantee — a quiet app with a healthy codebase looks the same as an abandoned one until something breaks. Full math on /methodology.
Risk signals
| 📅8 months since last update | Concerning gap |
VerdictAt risk
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
MEDIUM CONFIDENCEBaseline
$5.0K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+4.0% MoM · MID tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$4.7K – $7.9K
12 months
$5.2K – $10.8K
24 months
$6.4K – $19.2K
Compound growth at +4.0% MoM (tier baseline for MID). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±25% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Below median · 50/100MID TIERunderperforming peersGrowth Velocity
5.0
Founder Strength
6.8
Product Quality
9.3
Revenue Strength
3.7
Monetization Maturity
1.0
Defensibility
5.0
Market Position
0.0
Operational Safety
9.0
- 💰 Revenue: Modest — $3K - $7K/mo · MID tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 4.65★ across 250,937 reviews — exceptional (top 1% in category).
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: last update 261d ago — slow cadence.
- ⚠️ Risk: Low — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $90K-$160K. Portfolio play ($22K/mo combined) commands premium.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 3 of 3 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| High install base (250,937 ratings)METRIC | +$12,000 | |
| Excellent rating (4.7★)METRIC | +$2,200 | |
| Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC | +$600 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →🔖 v2.44.2🔄 updated 8mo ago📂 Adventure💰 Free
📝 About this app
Criminal Case: Pacific Bay - the #1 free hidden object game! Are you ready to solve murder cases?
Download now and discover who killed Christie Becker …
Join the Police of Pacific Bay to solve a series of murder cases in this captivating hidden object, adventure game. Investigate crime scenes for clues, bring the suspects in for questioning and analyze evidence to catch the killers. Are you ready to prove your detective skills?
FEATURES:
• Investigate crime scenes and discover the dark side of paradise
• Examine clues and analyze samples to look for evidence… View full description on the official store →
Download now and discover who killed Christie Becker …
Join the Police of Pacific Bay to solve a series of murder cases in this captivating hidden object, adventure game. Investigate crime scenes for clues, bring the suspects in for questioning and analyze evidence to catch the killers. Are you ready to prove your detective skills?
FEATURES:
• Investigate crime scenes and discover the dark side of paradise
• Examine clues and analyze samples to look for evidence… View full description on the official store →
🔔
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Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- Criminal Case: Pacific Bay
- Developer
- Pretty Simple
- Bundle ID
- com.prettysimple.criminalcasepacificbayandroid
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Adventure
- Content rating
- Not found
- Languages
- Not found
Company
- Website
- Not found
- Tagline
- Not found
- Description
- Not found
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Not found
Revenue
- Verified revenue / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- ML model estimate / mo
- $3.1K/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Not found
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- Not found
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
More by Pretty Simple
View all →📦 Portfolio summaryINDIE studio
8apps·$22K/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 34%; risk spread across portfolio
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Criminal Case: Pacific Bay: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
About this analysis
Why high confidence: 250,937 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
10 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does Criminal Case make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Criminal Case earns approximately $3.1K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
Is Criminal Case profitable?▴
With estimated build cost $165K and monthly revenue $3.1K, Criminal Case looks slow ROI — payback period is around 4.4 years at the current run-rate. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.
How many users does Criminal Case have?▴
Estimated audience: ~35.0M lifetime downloads, ~4.2M monthly active users, and ~1.2M daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.
What apps are like Criminal Case?▴
Browse the full Adventure category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
What is Criminal Case built with?▴
Our heuristic places Criminal Case on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.
Is Criminal Case still actively maintained?▴
Maintenance status: At risk (50% abandonment risk). Last shipped version was 8 months ago. The risk score combines time-since-last-update with Editor's Choice / curated featuring + user-base maturity adjustments.
How much would Criminal Case sell for?▴
Estimated acquisition value: $45K (marketplace range $35K – $50K). Calculated as 14× monthly revenue using the standard multiple for the detected monetization model + adjustments for age, rating quality and category demand. Calibrated against 2024-2026 Flippa / Acquire.com / MicroAcquire closed-deal medians.
When was Criminal Case last updated?▴
Criminal Case last shipped a new version on 2025-08-29 — 8 months ago. This is the date Apple / Google last accepted a new build, not a content-only push.
Who makes Criminal Case?▴
Criminal Case is published by Pretty Simple on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Criminal Case's BU Score?▴
Criminal Case has a BU Score of 78/100 (Strong). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.