闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！
49
Quality Score
Emerging
闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！
by 浙江阿里巴巴闲鱼网络科技有限公司
Medium confidence
✍️ bumetric analysis
“
闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！ is an iOS app from 浙江阿里巴巴闲鱼网络科技有限公司 in the Shopping category, currently rated 3.1★ across 3,021 ratings. Initial signal reads as mixed reviews: supporters praise core features while critics cite stability and value gaps.
Quality Score is 49: Emerging (early traction worth watching). For a Shopping app, that means early traction worth watching. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.
💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$5.0K
per month
→
12-mo forecast
$5.2K – $10.8K
per month
→
24-mo forecast
$6.4K – $19.2K
per month
MID tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
Loading…
Rating
—
Reviews
—
Forecast Revenue / mo
—
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD
💰 Estimated build cost
$120K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $90K – $160K
$25K · MVP floor
$100K · indie scale
$500K+ · studio build
📈
Slow ROI — current MRR is well below build cost
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| 📦 Asset bundle (358 MB) | +$40K |
| ⚙ Shopping complexity ×1.30 | +$27K |
Total estimate
$120K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE
💵 Estimated acquisition value
$10K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $5K – $10K · 12× MRR multiple
💸
~0.1× build cost (under-water)
Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from ad-supported + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.
How the multiple was built
| 📺 Ad-supported base | 15× MRR |
| ⭐ ★ rating < 3.5 (weak) | -18% |
| 🏷 Shopping category multiple | +2% |
Final multiple
12× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
300K
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
36K
Daily active
6.4K
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲 Shopping engagement | ~100 installs / rating |
| 🔁 Shopping D30 retention | 12% |
| 📍 DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.18 |
DAU / MAU
18% sticky
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
MEDIUM CONFIDENCEBaseline
$5.0K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+4.0% MoM · MID tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$4.7K – $7.9K
12 months
$5.2K – $10.8K
24 months
$6.4K – $19.2K
Compound growth at +4.0% MoM (tier baseline for MID). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±25% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Below median · 41/100MID TIERunderperforming peersRevenue Strength
3.7
Product Quality
5.7
Market Position
2.0
Growth Velocity
5.0
Defensibility
4.5
Operational Safety
8.0
Founder Strength
3.0
Monetization Maturity
1.0
- 💰 Revenue: Modest — $3K - $7K/mo · MID tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 3.15★ across 3,021 reviews — below category median.
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: dev shipping weekly.
- ⚠️ Risk: Moderate — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $90K-$160K.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 7 of 7 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| bugsREVIEW | −$1,800 | |
| Low install base (3,021 ratings)METRIC | +$1,500 | |
| Below-average rating (3.1★)METRIC | −$1,500 | |
| Mature app (13y old)METRIC | +$1,500 | |
| slowREVIEW | −$1,200 | |
| too expensiveREVIEW | −$1,000 | |
| Ad-supported / freemiumMETRIC | +$600 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
🆕 What's New · v7.27.41
新版闲鱼已上线，拍张照秒知宝贝行情价，拍的多赚的多
快来和赵露思一起发现闲鱼新用法～
快来和赵露思一起发现闲鱼新用法～
Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- 闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！
- Developer
- 浙江阿里巴巴闲鱼网络科技有限公司
- Bundle ID
- com.taobao.fleamarket
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Shopping
- Content rating
- 17+
- Languages
- EN, ZH, ZH
Company
- Website
- Not found
- Tagline
- Today
- Description
- Find apps and games for iPhone, iPad, Mac, and more on the App Store.
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Available
Revenue
- Verified revenue / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- ML model estimate / mo
- $695/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Outside top 99 in US Shopping
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- Not found
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth3,021 ratings+26% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾
Tracked (52 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (34 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
🌍Geographic ReachNot ranked
This app is currently outside the top 100 grossing in all 9 countries we monitor (US, UK, DE, FR, JP, CA, AU, BR, IN). Niche or new apps often launch this way — popularity rankings appear once daily revenue clears the regional threshold.
🚀Update Frequency · Releases per Quarter8 releases tracked
🚀Version Release Timeline8 releases tracked
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
📝 About this app
闲鱼阿里巴巴集团旗下APP，买卖闲置，就用闲鱼！无须开店却能享受支付宝担保交易，仅需30秒即可发布一款宝贝。
没有金刚钻，还真不敢揽这瓷器活儿！
-支付宝担保的个人交易平台：更诚信，更安全！
-淘宝已买到宝贝，随时随地一键转卖，立即变现。
-淘宝上亿买家都可以看到你的宝贝，商品更容易被卖出！（这个比较牛）
-卖家发布更简单，语音描述，扫条码更轻松
他们都在，就缺你啦！
许多妈妈在这儿，
转卖孩子们用不着的玩具、物品，
同时也在这里交流着养儿育儿的心得经验，
这些东西她们给自己孩子用过，所以，你放心！
许多达人混迹于此，
倒腾古书、镜头、模型、限量版篮球鞋等等，
他们在这儿不仅转卖闲置，还结交到了同好朋友！
在新品市场找不到的，也许你可以在这试试！
最爱这儿的还是剁手党's，
那些对他们没新鲜感，或者不再爱的物件儿，
都能在这儿找到新的主人，节省空间的同时还能有笔小收入。
物尽其用，正是这个道理！
联系我们&意见反馈：
邮箱：taobao-fleamarket-client@list.alibaba-inc.com
没有金刚钻，还真不敢揽这瓷器活儿！
-支付宝担保的个人交易平台：更诚信，更安全！
-淘宝已买到宝贝，随时随地一键转卖，立即变现。
-淘宝上亿买家都可以看到你的宝贝，商品更容易被卖出！（这个比较牛）
-卖家发布更简单，语音描述，扫条码更轻松
他们都在，就缺你啦！
许多妈妈在这儿，
转卖孩子们用不着的玩具、物品，
同时也在这里交流着养儿育儿的心得经验，
这些东西她们给自己孩子用过，所以，你放心！
许多达人混迹于此，
倒腾古书、镜头、模型、限量版篮球鞋等等，
他们在这儿不仅转卖闲置，还结交到了同好朋友！
在新品市场找不到的，也许你可以在这试试！
最爱这儿的还是剁手党's，
那些对他们没新鲜感，或者不再爱的物件儿，
都能在这儿找到新的主人，节省空间的同时还能有笔小收入。
物尽其用，正是这个道理！
联系我们&意见反馈：
邮箱：taobao-fleamarket-client@list.alibaba-inc.com
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →💾 358 MB🔞 17+📱 iOS 13.0+🔖 v7.27.41🔄 updated 0d ago🌐 EN, ZH, ZH📂 Shopping💰 Free
📅
What Worked™ · Development Pipeline
22 EVENTS TRACKEDDetected changes in this app over its tracked lifetime — each event links cause (what changed) to effect (what moved). Sorted newest first.See full history →Version history →
2026-07
🔧
Shipped update — v7.27.30 → v7.27.41
→ 30 days after: reviews +26 high confidence
2026-07
🔧
Shipped update — v7.27.20 → v7.27.30
→ 30 days after: reviews +36 medium · co-occurring
2026-07
🔧
Shipped update — v7.27.10 → v7.27.20
→ 30 days after: reviews +45 medium · co-occurring
2026-07
🔧
Shipped update — v7.26.70 → v7.27.10
→ 30 days after: reviews +64 medium · co-occurring
2026-06
🔧
Shipped update — v7.26.61 → v7.26.70
→ 30 days after: reviews +36 medium · co-occurring
2026-06
🔧
Shipped update — v7.26.50 → v7.26.61
→ 30 days after: reviews +43 medium · co-occurring
2026-05
🔧
Shipped update — v7.26.30 → v7.26.50
→ 30 days after: reviews +51 high confidence
2026-05
⭐
Rating ↑ 1.92 → 3.15 (improved 1.23★)
→ 30 days after: reviews +35 high confidence
2026-05
📈
Crossed 1,000 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
→ 30 days after: reviews +35 high confidence
2026-03
📈
Crossed 500 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
→ 30 days after: rating +1.22★ · reviews +2,526 medium · co-occurring
2026-03
⭐
Rating ↓ 4.30 → 1.93 (dropped 2.37★)
→ 30 days after: reviews +14 medium · co-occurring
2026-03
📈
Crossed 500 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
→ 30 days after: reviews +14 medium · co-occurring
2026-03
⭐
Rating ↑ 1.94 → 4.30 (improved 2.36★)
→ 30 days after: reviews +14 medium · co-occurring
2024-01
⭐
Rating ↑ 1.67 → 2.00 (improved 0.33★)
→ 30 days after: rating +0.16★ · reviews +19 high confidence
2023-11
📈
Crossed 100 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
→ 30 days after: rating +0.16★ · reviews +13 high confidence
2022-10
📈
Crossed 50 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
2022-10
📈
Crossed 50 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
→ 30 days after: reviews +5 high confidence
2021-08
📈
Crossed 10 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
2021-08
📈
Crossed 10 ratings — social-proof flywheel kicking in
2021-04
🚀
First tracked snapshot — initial data captured
→ 30 days after: rating −0.17★ high confidence
🌍
Multi-Country Performance
Available in 8 of 9 monitored markets| Market | Rating | Reviews | Current version |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🇺🇸 US | 3.12771★ | 3,132 | 3.12771★ this version |
| 🇬🇧 GB | 3.79263★ | 217 | 3.79263★ this version |
| 🇩🇪 DE | 4.3★ | 70 | 4.3★ this version |
| 🇫🇷 FR | 3.91176★ | 68 | 3.91176★ this version |
| 🇯🇵 JP | 3.20869★ | 944 | 3.20869★ this version |
| 🇨🇦 CA | 3.53182★ | 440 | 3.53182★ this version |
| 🇦🇺 AU | 4.08649★ | 370 | 4.08649★ this version |
| 🇮🇳 IN | 3.83333★ | 18 | 3.83333★ this version |
🔔
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📝 Description
95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for 闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
About this analysis
Why medium confidence: 3,021 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
4 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does 闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！ make per month?▴
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, 闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！ earns approximately $694/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
What apps are like 闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！?▴
Browse the full Shopping category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
Who makes 闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！?▴
闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！ is published by 浙江阿里巴巴闲鱼网络科技有限公司 on the Apple App Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is 闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！'s BU Score?▴
闲鱼 - 神奇的闲鱼！ has a BU Score of 49/100 (Emerging). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.