65
Quality Score
Solid
9th Dawn III RPG
✍️ bumetric analysis
“
9th Dawn III RPG is an Android app from Valorware in the Role Playing category, currently rated 4.4★ across 1,767 ratings. Initial signal reads as largely positive sentiment, users highlighting consistency and feature depth.
Quality Score is 65: Solid (established niche player). For a Role Playing app, that means established niche player. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.
Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.
💰 Revenue · today and ahead
Today
$6.6K/mo
In 12 months
$6.8K – $14.2K
In 24 months
$8.4K – $25.2K
MID tier
💡 Grow this revenue
Free AI audit of this app’s store listing
- Title & subtitle keyword fit
- Description hook & conversion structure
- Screenshots, ratings, reviews strategy
Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
📊 Performance Tracking LIVE
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Rating
—
Reviews
—
Forecast Revenue / mo
—
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD💰 Estimated build cost
$215K
↳ What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $160K – $290K
$25K · MVP floor$100K · indie scale$500K+ · studio build
📈Pays back in ~2.8y at current MRR
Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.
Where the money goes
| 🧱MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) | +$28K |
| 📱5 unique screens × $4.5K | +$22K |
| ⚙Role Playing complexity ×2.30 | +$65K |
| 🌐Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) | +$63K |
| ⚙5.6y maintenance × ~1-person team | +$33K |
Total estimate$215K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE💵 Estimated acquisition value
$100K
↳ What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $75K – $150K · 17× MRR multiple
💸~0.5× build cost (under-water)
Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from ad-supported + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.
How the multiple was built
| 📺Ad-supported base | 15× MRR |
| 📅5.6y proven track record | +20% |
| 🏷Role Playing category multiple | -8% |
Final multiple17× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
165K
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
23K
Daily active
9.2K
Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.
How we sized it
| 📲Role Playing engagement | ~130 installs / rating |
| 📅5.6y of rating accumulation | -28% |
| 🔁Role Playing D30 retention | 18% |
| 📍DAU / MAU stickiness | 0.40 |
DAU / MAU40% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter
Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.
Signals we read
| 🏷Category context | Role Playing |
| 📦Tiny game bundle | → Native 2D engine |
💀 Maintenance status
Slowing
30%
Last shipped 2026-02-15 · 97 days ago
0 · Active50 · At risk100 · Abandoned
Heuristic risk score from time-since-last-update + ratings velocity proxy + Editor's Choice / curated featuring signals. Calibrated against 2024-2025 app-store ranking decay reports. Not a guarantee — a quiet app with a healthy codebase looks the same as an abandoned one until something breaks. Full math on /methodology.
Risk signals
| 📅3 months since last update | Slowing cadence |
VerdictSlowing
🔬
How we forecast this revenue
MEDIUM CONFIDENCEBaseline
$6.6K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+4.0% MoM · MID tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$6.2K – $10.4K
12 months
$6.8K – $14.2K
24 months
$8.4K – $25.2K
Compound growth at +4.0% MoM (tier baseline for MID). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±25% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊
BU Investment Matrix
Below median · 51/100MID TIERunderperforming peersGrowth Velocity
5.0
Founder Strength
6.9
Product Quality
7.9
Revenue Strength
3.8
Monetization Maturity
1.0
Defensibility
6.4
Market Position
0.0
Operational Safety
10.0
- 💰 Revenue: Modest — $4K - $9K/mo · MID tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
- ⭐ Quality: 4.38★ across 1,767 reviews — strong (top 10%).
- 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
- 📈 Growth: Insufficient signal to assess trajectory.
- ⚠️ Risk: Low — no material risk signals detected.
🎯 For competitors: Mixed picture. Worth competing if you have a clear UX or pricing edge — otherwise crowded segment.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $118K-$209K. Portfolio play ($27K/mo combined) commands premium.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:
💰 Forecast Revenue / mo
MODELRevenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 4 of 4 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
| Paid app ($9.99)METRIC | +$2,800 | |
| Low install base (1,767 ratings)METRIC | +$1,500 | |
| Good rating (4.4★)METRIC | +$800 | |
| Established app (5y old)METRIC | +$800 |
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)
📈 Reviews Growth
LIVECumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.
⭐ Rating Trend
LIVEAverage rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →🔖 v1.89🔄 updated 3mo ago📂 Role Playing💰 Free🚀 Launched 2020 (5y old)
📝 About this app
**Important** This game has been successfully patched to fix the Unity Security Issue from October 2nd 2025.
9th Dawn III: Shadow of Erthil is a massive 2D open world RPG and collectathon dungeon crawler packed full of adventure! When asked to investigate mysterious, ghostly sightings around the lake of Elmson, you trek through the lands of Cedaltia to uncover the truth. Upon arrival, you hear rumors of an untrustworthy king.… View full description on the official store →
9th Dawn III: Shadow of Erthil is a massive 2D open world RPG and collectathon dungeon crawler packed full of adventure! When asked to investigate mysterious, ghostly sightings around the lake of Elmson, you trek through the lands of Cedaltia to uncover the truth. Upon arrival, you hear rumors of an untrustworthy king.… View full description on the official store →
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Profile & Insights
Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.
Identification
- App name
- 9th Dawn III RPG
- Developer
- Valorware
- Bundle ID
- com.valorware.ninthdawniii
- App Store URL
- Open in App Store
- Category
- Role Playing
- Content rating
- Not found
- Languages
- Not found
Company
- Website
- valorware.com
- Tagline
- Not found
- Description
- Not found
- Founded
- Not found
- HQ / Address
- Not found
- Employees
- Not found
- Logo
- Not found
Revenue
- Verified revenue / mo
- Not found
- AI revenue estimate / mo
- Not found
- AI annual estimate
- Not found
- ML model estimate / mo
- $6.6K/mo
- Top-grossing rank
- Not found
- All-time revenue
- Not found
- Pricing
- Not found
Founder
Founder data not yet collected for this app.
Funding
Funding data not yet collected for this app.
Press & Links
Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.
Contacts & Socials
Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
📈Ratings growth1,767 ratings+73% lifetimeShow 3-year history estimate ▾
Tracked (1 weeks) Pre-tracking estimate (36 weeks) · model-based, ±5% noise · anchored to release date and current value
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.
More by Valorware
View all →📦 Portfolio summaryINDIE studio
8apps·$27K/mocombined
✓ Diversified — top app contributes 34%; risk spread across portfolio
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for 9th Dawn III RPG: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
10 answers · auto-generated from this app's public dataHow much does 9th Dawn III RPG make per month?▾
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, 9th Dawn III RPG earns approximately $6K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
Is 9th Dawn III RPG profitable?▾
With estimated build cost $215K and monthly revenue $6K, 9th Dawn III RPG looks break-even-grade — payback period sits around 2.8 years. Profitability also depends on paid-acquisition spend and refund rate which the public model doesn't see.
How many users does 9th Dawn III RPG have?▾
Estimated audience: ~165K lifetime downloads, ~23K monthly active users, and ~9K daily active users. Derived from ratings count × category installs-per-rating × age decay. US-storefront-equivalent — global audience can be 5-10× larger for internationally-distributed apps.
What apps are like 9th Dawn III RPG?▾
Browse the full Role Playing category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
What is 9th Dawn III RPG built with?▾
Our heuristic places 9th Dawn III RPG on the Native Android (Kotlin) stack (Medium confidence, 55%). Signals: app bundle size, category context, store-description markers, release-date era. We don't disassemble binaries. Alternative possibilities: Flutter.
Is 9th Dawn III RPG still actively maintained?▾
Maintenance status: Slowing (30% abandonment risk). Last shipped version was 3 months ago. The risk score combines time-since-last-update with Editor's Choice / curated featuring + user-base maturity adjustments.
How much would 9th Dawn III RPG sell for?▾
Estimated acquisition value: $100K (marketplace range $75K – $150K). Calculated as 17× monthly revenue using the standard multiple for the detected monetization model + adjustments for age, rating quality and category demand. Calibrated against 2024-2026 Flippa / Acquire.com / MicroAcquire closed-deal medians.
When was 9th Dawn III RPG last updated?▾
9th Dawn III RPG last shipped a new version on 2026-02-15 — 3 months ago. This is the date Apple / Google last accepted a new build, not a content-only push.
Who makes 9th Dawn III RPG?▾
9th Dawn III RPG is published by Valorware on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is 9th Dawn III RPG's BU Score?▾
9th Dawn III RPG has a BU Score of 65/100 (Solid). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.